Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 2.54 | 0.900 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.86 | 0.897 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.54 Ldr
GAA
2.86
0.900 Ldr
Save %
0.897
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
BRUINS
0%
DUCKS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
ANA By 1 goal
11.9%
ANA By 2-3 goals
9.1%
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
29.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2.33
ANAHEIM
Boston
3.36
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Anaheim
1
ANAHEIM
Boston
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 19, 2025
BOS @ ANA
3 - 4
Oct 23, 2025
ANA @ BOS
7 - 5
Mar 26, 2025
BOS @ ANA
2 - 6
Feb 22, 2025
ANA @ BOS
3 - 2
Oct 26, 2023
ANA @ BOS
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+42.8% more
Boston: 6.7
vs
Anaheim: 4.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.7%
Boston: 50.6%
vs
Anaheim: 41.8%
Power Play % (L5)
+8.4%
Boston: 11.7%
vs
Anaheim: 3.3%
Hits (L5)
+19.9% more
Anaheim: 24.1
vs
Boston: 19.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.3
3
BOS Score
3.4
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.0 / 16.1
12.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
50.6 / 41.8
68.5 / 31.5
Hits
19.3 / 24.1
25.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
11.7 / 3.3
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.4 / 27.0
30.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
6.7 / 4.7
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
ANA
BOS
ANA
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
0%
0-3