BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
39-16 | Road
124
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
20-34 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
76ERS
100%
CELTICS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.2
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.2 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -9.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
24.0%
BOS By 8-14 points
27.0%
PHI By 1-7 points
11.8%
PHI By 8-14 points
3.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
122.24
BOSTON
Philadelphia
113.02
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Boston
108
BOSTON
Philadelphia
102
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.2
D
Sim
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 235.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 2, 2026
PHI @ BOS
109 - 100
Apr 30, 2026
BOS @ PHI
93 - 106
Apr 28, 2026
PHI @ BOS
113 - 97
Apr 26, 2026
BOS @ PHI
128 - 96
Apr 24, 2026
BOS @ PHI
108 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+19.6% more
Boston: 50.1
vs
Philadelphia: 40.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.4%
Boston: 37.1%
vs
Philadelphia: 30.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Boston: 47.8%
vs
Philadelphia: 45.4%
Steals (L5)
+111.3% more
Philadelphia: 9.5
vs
Boston: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
122.2
124
PHI Score
113.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 37.1
20.5 / 44.4
Assists
25.2 / 25.5
23.0 / 33.0
Blocks
5.6 / 5.6
0.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 47.8
43.0 / 48.3
Free Throw %
80.8 / 80.6
94.1 / 93.3
Rebounding
40.3 / 50.1
44.0 / 49.0
Steals
9.5 / 4.5
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 12.6
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
BOS
PHI
BOS
ML
63%
69-40
57%
61-46
48%
45-48
53%
47-41
ATS
65%
71-38
59%
61-43-3
48%
45-48
53%
47-41
TTL
55%
60-49
56%
60-47
100%
93-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
Colin Cowherd: LeBron James' Arthritis and Sciatica Made 76ers t…