ORLANDO
MAGICORL
27-29 | Road
114
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
26-29 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
HAWKS
0%
MAGIC
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ORL By 1-7 points
20.2%
ORL By 8-14 points
9.3%
ATL By 1-7 points
27.4%
ATL By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
104.74
ORLANDO
Atlanta
108.72
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Orlando
104
ORLANDO
Atlanta
117
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 213.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
ATL @ ORL
130 - 101
Mar 16, 2026
ORL @ ATL
112 - 124
Nov 4, 2025
ORL @ ATL
112 - 127
Oct 24, 2025
ATL @ ORL
111 - 107
Apr 15, 2025
ATL @ ORL
95 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+58.8% more
Atlanta: 34.7
vs
Orlando: 21.9
Steals (L5)
+20.0% more
Atlanta: 9.2
vs
Orlando: 7.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Atlanta: 49.4%
vs
Orlando: 44.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Atlanta: 37.5%
vs
Orlando: 33.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
104.7
114
ATL Score
108.7
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 33.1
31.4 / 24.0
Assists
34.7 / 21.9
20.0 / 15.0
Blocks
6.6 / 6.5
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
49.4 / 44.6
39.0 / 48.2
Free Throw %
74.6 / 74.6
67.9 / 68.4
Rebounding
43.8 / 44.1
51.0 / 53.0
Steals
9.2 / 7.7
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 13.7
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
ORL
ATL
ORL
ML
50%
52-52
61%
65-42
55%
48-40
56%
51-40
ATS
53%
55-48-1
64%
68-38-1
55%
48-40
56%
51-40
TTL
53%
55-48-1
57%
61-46
100%
88-0
100%
91-0
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