Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hornets @ Lakers CHA @ LAL

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

13-39  |  Road

100
FINAL
Wed, Feb 19 • 10:00 PM ET
Crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

32-20  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
LAKERS
0%
HORNETS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.5 points (Los Angeles)
HornetsCHA (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

10.7%

Lakers Cover

89.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAL -12.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

CHA By 1-7 points

7.5%

CHA By 8-14 points

2.0%

LAL By 1-7 points

19.4%

LAL By 8-14 points

27.1%

AI Model Projected Score
104.86
CHARLOTTE
117.31
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
97
CHARLOTTE
115
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lakers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lakers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.5
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 222.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 15, 2026 CHA @ LAL 135 - 117
Nov 10, 2025 LAL @ CHA 121 - 111
Feb 19, 2025 CHA @ LAL 100 - 97
Jan 27, 2025 LAL @ CHA 112 - 107
Feb 5, 2024 LAL @ CHA 124 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +31.7% more
Los Angeles: 7.4 vs Charlotte: 5.6
Assists (L5) +28.7% more
Los Angeles: 29.1 vs Charlotte: 22.7
Field Goal % (L5) +8.6%
Los Angeles: 50.4% vs Charlotte: 41.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.8%
Los Angeles: 38.3% vs Charlotte: 32.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHA Score 104.9 100
LAL Score 117.3 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 32.6 29.4 / 34.0
Assists 29.1 / 22.7 29.0 / 20.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.0 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.4 / 41.8 41.1 / 36.3
Free Throw % 76.7 / 84.1 66.7 / 94.1
Rebounding 45.1 / 42.7 50.0 / 47.0
Steals 7.4 / 5.6 7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 14.1 / 13.3 18.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
94%MONEY6%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
LAL
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
CHA
LAL
CHA
ML
61% 68-43
61% 60-39
54% 49-42
48% 40-44
ATS
61% 67-43-1
60% 59-40
54% 49-42
48% 40-44
TTL
61% 66-43-2
58% 57-42
100% 91-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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