DETROIT
PISTONSDET
28-26 | Road
128
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
22-32 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
BULLS
100%
PISTONS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.6
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.6 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -5.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
27.0%
DET By 8-14 points
23.8%
CHI By 1-7 points
17.6%
CHI By 8-14 points
7.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
117.01
DETROIT
Chicago
111.39
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Detroit
98
DETROIT
Chicago
105
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.6
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 203.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
DET @ CHI
126 - 110
Jan 7, 2026
CHI @ DET
93 - 108
Nov 12, 2025
CHI @ DET
113 - 124
Oct 22, 2025
DET @ CHI
111 - 115
Feb 12, 2025
DET @ CHI
128 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+22.8% more
Detroit: 10.0
vs
Chicago: 7.7
Blocks (L5)
+22.2% more
Detroit: 4.8
vs
Chicago: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+19.3% more
Detroit: 49.8
vs
Chicago: 40.2
Assists (L5)
+13.1% more
Detroit: 29.5
vs
Chicago: 25.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
117.0
128
CHI Score
111.4
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 36.6
22.0 / 40.0
Assists
25.6 / 29.5
23.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.8
7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 49.0
43.0 / 51.1
Free Throw %
74.1 / 85.2
90.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
40.2 / 49.8
37.0 / 47.0
Steals
7.7 / 10.0
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 13.3
18.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
DET
CHI
DET
ML
56%
54-42
55%
64-53
57%
46-35
49%
47-49
ATS
65%
62-33-1
53%
60-54-3
57%
46-35
49%
47-49
TTL
58%
56-40
60%
70-46-1
100%
81-0
100%
96-0
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