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MEMPHIS

GRIZZLIESMEM

36-17  |  Road

114
FINAL
Wed, Feb 12 • 10:30 PM ET
Intuit Dome
View Odds Details →

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

29-23  |  Home

128
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
📊
CLIPPERS
0%
GRIZZLIES --
CLIPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
239.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (LA)
GrizzliesMEM (-3.5) 0 ClippersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Grizzlies Cover

36.7%

Clippers Cover

63.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

MEM By 1-7 points

21.0%

MEM By 8-14 points

10.1%

LAC By 1-7 points

27.3%

LAC By 8-14 points

20.7%

AI Model Projected Score
117.79
MEMPHIS
121.19
LA
Simulated Score
119
MEMPHIS
116
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Grizzlies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Clippers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.4
D
Sim Grizzlies (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 239.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 LAC @ MEM 123 - 120
Dec 15, 2025 MEM @ LAC 121 - 103
Dec 5, 2025 LAC @ MEM 98 - 107
Nov 28, 2025 MEM @ LAC 112 - 107
Mar 21, 2025 MEM @ LAC 108 - 128
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +18.7% more
LA: 29.0 vs Memphis: 24.4
Free Throw % (L5) +3.6%
LA: 80.2% vs Memphis: 76.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
LA: 50.0% vs Memphis: 46.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
LA: 38.7% vs Memphis: 37.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MEM Score 117.8 114
LAC Score 121.2 128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.7 / 37.0 37.1 / 50.0
Assists 29.0 / 24.4 29.0 / 24.0
Blocks 3.8 / 5.4 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.0 / 46.6 50.5 / 49.4
Free Throw % 80.2 / 76.6 95.5 / 53.3
Rebounding 41.8 / 52.2 46.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.4 / 8.5 17.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 14.3 17.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
25-57-0 (30.5%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0 (45.1%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +1.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
MEM
LAC
MEM
ML
60% 59-40
57% 59-44
55% 45-37
50% 41-41
ATS
66% 65-33-1
63% 65-38
55% 45-37
50% 41-41
TTL
59% 58-40-1
70% 71-31-1
100% 82-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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