TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
16-37 | Road
106
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
20-32 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
76ERS
0%
RAPTORS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.2 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -6.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
TOR By 1-7 points
16.6%
TOR By 8-14 points
6.6%
PHI By 1-7 points
26.7%
PHI By 8-14 points
24.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
111.25
TORONTO
Philadelphia
117.46
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Toronto
105
TORONTO
Philadelphia
110
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.2
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 12, 2026
PHI @ TOR
115 - 102
Jan 11, 2026
PHI @ TOR
115 - 116
Nov 19, 2025
TOR @ PHI
121 - 112
Nov 8, 2025
TOR @ PHI
120 - 130
Mar 30, 2025
TOR @ PHI
127 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+19.3% more
Philadelphia: 9.0
vs
Toronto: 7.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Philadelphia: 49.4%
vs
Toronto: 42.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Philadelphia: 39.1%
vs
Toronto: 32.6%
Blocks (L5)
+10.6% more
Toronto: 5.3
vs
Philadelphia: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
111.3
106
PHI Score
117.5
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 32.6
23.7 / 33.3
Assists
26.9 / 26.0
22.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.7 / 5.3
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.4 / 42.3
40.7 / 46.3
Free Throw %
78.7 / 77.5
83.3 / 82.6
Rebounding
39.1 / 42.4
46.0 / 49.0
Steals
9.0 / 7.5
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 11.4
14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
TOR
PHI
TOR
ML
63%
69-40
55%
57-47
48%
45-48
55%
48-39
ATS
65%
71-38
61%
62-40-2
48%
45-48
55%
48-39
TTL
55%
60-49
60%
62-42
100%
93-0
100%
87-0
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