DETROIT
PISTONSDET
27-26 | Road
132
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
22-31 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
BULLS
100%
PISTONS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
25.4%
DET By 8-14 points
15.4%
CHI By 1-7 points
25.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
114.24
DETROIT
Chicago
114.21
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Detroit
99
DETROIT
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
DET @ CHI
126 - 110
Jan 7, 2026
CHI @ DET
93 - 108
Nov 12, 2025
CHI @ DET
113 - 124
Oct 22, 2025
DET @ CHI
111 - 115
Feb 12, 2025
DET @ CHI
128 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+29.2% more
Detroit: 10.0
vs
Chicago: 7.1
Rebounding (L5)
+18.8% more
Detroit: 47.2
vs
Chicago: 38.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.1%
Detroit: 81.6%
vs
Chicago: 79.5%
Blocks (L5)
+44.8% more
Chicago: 4.6
vs
Detroit: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
114.2
132
CHI Score
114.2
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.0 / 32.9
21.3 / 43.9
Assists
27.4 / 29.2
22.0 / 30.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.2
2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 47.0
35.0 / 53.1
Free Throw %
79.5 / 81.6
63.2 / 92.3
Rebounding
38.3 / 47.2
44.0 / 55.0
Steals
7.1 / 10.0
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 12.5
16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
DET
CHI
DET
ML
56%
54-42
55%
64-53
57%
46-35
49%
47-49
ATS
65%
62-33-1
53%
60-54-3
57%
46-35
49%
47-49
TTL
58%
56-40
60%
70-46-1
100%
81-0
100%
96-0
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