ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
25-28 | Road
112
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
26-28 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
MAGIC
100%
HAWKS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-7 points
26.4%
ATL By 8-14 points
17.3%
ORL By 1-7 points
24.0%
ORL By 8-14 points
13.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
107.37
ATLANTA
Orlando
106.16
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Atlanta
108
ATLANTA
Orlando
115
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.2
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 213.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
ATL @ ORL
130 - 101
Mar 16, 2026
ORL @ ATL
112 - 124
Nov 4, 2025
ORL @ ATL
112 - 127
Oct 24, 2025
ATL @ ORL
111 - 107
Apr 15, 2025
ATL @ ORL
95 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+33.4% more
Atlanta: 5.8
vs
Orlando: 3.9
Assists (L5)
+30.8% more
Atlanta: 31.4
vs
Orlando: 21.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
Atlanta: 38.0%
vs
Orlando: 30.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Atlanta: 48.9%
vs
Orlando: 45.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
107.4
112
ORL Score
106.2
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 38.0
40.0 / 37.5
Assists
21.7 / 31.4
22.0 / 29.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.8
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 48.9
47.4 / 49.4
Free Throw %
71.0 / 73.7
83.3 / 85.7
Rebounding
42.3 / 43.9
36.0 / 39.0
Steals
9.2 / 6.7
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 13.8
18.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
ATL
ORL
ATL
ML
61%
65-42
50%
52-52
56%
51-40
55%
48-40
ATS
64%
68-38-1
53%
55-48-1
56%
51-40
55%
48-40
TTL
57%
61-46
53%
55-48-1
100%
91-0
100%
88-0
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