CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
13-37 | Road
89
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
18-34 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
NETS
100%
HORNETS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
202.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
CHA By 1-7 points
25.9%
CHA By 8-14 points
16.2%
BKN By 1-7 points
24.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
14.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
101.53
CHARLOTTE
Brooklyn
100.96
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.6
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 202.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
CHA @ BKN
117 - 86
Dec 1, 2025
CHA @ BKN
103 - 116
Oct 22, 2025
BKN @ CHA
117 - 136
Mar 8, 2025
BKN @ CHA
102 - 105
Feb 10, 2025
CHA @ BKN
89 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.3% more
Charlotte: 26.2
vs
Brooklyn: 22.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.1%
Charlotte: 85.2%
vs
Brooklyn: 76.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
Charlotte: 40.4%
vs
Brooklyn: 31.7%
Blocks (L5)
+231.7% more
Brooklyn: 8.2
vs
Charlotte: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
101.5
89
BKN Score
101.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 40.4
23.8 / 19.4
Assists
22.2 / 26.2
24.0 / 18.0
Blocks
8.2 / 2.5
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 44.0
39.8 / 41.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 85.2
92.9 / 67.9
Rebounding
45.7 / 43.9
47.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.1
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 11.9
17.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
CHA
BKN
CHA
ML
53%
50-45
61%
60-39
59%
48-34
48%
40-44
ATS
52%
48-44-3
60%
59-40
59%
48-34
48%
40-44
TTL
57%
54-41
58%
57-42
100%
82-0
100%
84-0
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