CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
13-36 | Road
102
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
26-26 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
PISTONS
0%
HORNETS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.5
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.5 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -6.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CHA By 1-7 points
16.1%
CHA By 8-14 points
6.3%
DET By 1-7 points
26.6%
DET By 8-14 points
24.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
108.05
CHARLOTTE
Detroit
114.54
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Charlotte
102
CHARLOTTE
Detroit
110
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.5
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
DET @ CHA
118 - 100
Feb 9, 2026
DET @ CHA
110 - 104
Dec 20, 2025
CHA @ DET
86 - 112
Feb 9, 2025
CHA @ DET
102 - 112
Jan 3, 2025
CHA @ DET
94 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+83.4% more
Detroit: 9.5
vs
Charlotte: 5.2
Blocks (L5)
+33.0% more
Detroit: 4.2
vs
Charlotte: 3.2
Turnovers (L5)
+21.7% more
Detroit: 13.3
vs
Charlotte: 10.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Detroit: 46.0%
vs
Charlotte: 44.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
108.1
102
DET Score
114.5
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 37.2
29.7 / 46.9
Assists
28.3 / 26.8
31.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.2
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 44.2
48.9 / 43.6
Free Throw %
81.7 / 86.5
81.3 / 82.6
Rebounding
47.8 / 47.3
46.0 / 37.0
Steals
9.5 / 5.2
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 10.9
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHA
DET
CHA
ML
55%
64-53
61%
60-39
49%
47-49
48%
40-44
ATS
53%
60-54-3
60%
59-40
49%
47-49
48%
40-44
TTL
60%
70-46-1
58%
57-42
100%
96-0
100%
84-0
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