OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
29-22-4 | Road
1
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
33-20-3 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 4.14 | 0.915 | -- |
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.14
GAA
--
0.915
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
SENATORS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
OTT By 1 goal
2.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
1.1%
FLA By 1 goal
12.0%
FLA By 2-3 goals
37.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
1.89
OTTAWA
Florida
4.91
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
FLA @ OTT
1 - 5
Mar 31, 2026
OTT @ FLA
3 - 6
Jan 10, 2026
FLA @ OTT
3 - 2
Oct 11, 2025
OTT @ FLA
2 - 6
Apr 5, 2025
FLA @ OTT
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+62.9% more
Florida: 32.3
vs
Ottawa: 19.8
Power Play % (L5)
+24.6%
Florida: 46.8%
vs
Ottawa: 22.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+11.6% more
Florida: 4.8
vs
Ottawa: 4.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.4% more
Florida: 34.8
vs
Ottawa: 32.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
1.9
1
FLA Score
4.9
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.2 / 15.9
8.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
48.9 / 56.0
52.7 / 47.3
Hits
32.3 / 19.8
30.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
46.8 / 22.2
20.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
34.8 / 32.1
48.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 4.3
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
OTT
FLA
OTT
ML
0%
0-4
0%
0-3
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
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