BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
22-26-5 | Road
4
NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
18-28-7 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Justus Annunen
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 5.15 | 0.773 | -- |
| Justus Annunen | None-None | 4.04 | 0.862 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.15
GAA
Ldr 4.04
0.773
Save %
Ldr 0.862
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
PREDATORS
0%
SABRES
--
PREDATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Nashville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NSH -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)
BUF By 1 goal
13.5%
BUF By 2-3 goals
11.2%
NSH By 1 goal
19.6%
NSH By 2-3 goals
27.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
2.73
BUFFALO
Nashville
3.5
NASHVILLE
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Nashville
4
NASHVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Predators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Predators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Predators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Predators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
NSH @ BUF
2 - 3
Jan 20, 2026
BUF @ NSH
5 - 3
Feb 8, 2025
BUF @ NSH
4 - 6
Jan 31, 2025
NSH @ BUF
3 - 4
Mar 7, 2024
BUF @ NSH
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+10.6%
Nashville: 15.2%
vs
Buffalo: 4.6%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.5% more
Nashville: 31.0
vs
Buffalo: 28.6
Hits (L5)
+8.2% more
Nashville: 25.3
vs
Buffalo: 23.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.8%
Nashville: 52.7%
vs
Buffalo: 50.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
2.7
4
NSH Score
3.5
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.0 / 16.6
26.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
52.7 / 50.9
55.9 / 44.1
Hits
25.3 / 23.4
33.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
15.2 / 4.6
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
31.0 / 28.6
23.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 3.4
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
BUF
NSH
BUF
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
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