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NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

25-22-7  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Feb 8 • 8:00 PM ET
Xcel Energy Center
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

32-19-4  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
@
Filip Gustavsson
GOALTENDER

Filip Gustavsson

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ilya Sorokin None-None 5.07 0.875 --
Filip Gustavsson None-None 3.00 0.914 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.07 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.875 Save % Ldr 0.914
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
WILD
0%
ISLANDERS --
WILD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Minnesota)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 WildMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

26.6%

Wild Cover

73.4%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

NYI By 1 goal

10.6%

NYI By 2-3 goals

7.6%

MIN By 1 goal

19.6%

MIN By 2-3 goals

32.0%

AI Model Projected Score
2.03
NEW YORK
3.28
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
3
NEW YORK
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wild Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wild Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wild (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim Wild (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 NYI @ MIN 4 - 3
Nov 7, 2025 MIN @ NYI 5 - 2
Apr 4, 2025 MIN @ NYI 1 - 3
Feb 8, 2025 NYI @ MIN 3 - 6
Jan 15, 2024 NYI @ MIN 0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +15.6% more
Minnesota: 18.5 vs New York: 16.0
Power Play % (L5) +4.3%
Minnesota: 10.2% vs New York: 5.9%
Takeaways (L5) +41.9% more
New York: 6.2 vs Minnesota: 3.6
Faceoff % (L5) +13.8%
New York: 54.9% vs Minnesota: 41.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 2.0 3
MIN Score 3.3 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 18.5 / 16.0 12.0 / 21.0
Faceoff % 41.0 / 54.9 40.7 / 59.3
Hits 18.4 / 20.3 13.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 10.2 / 5.9 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 26.2 / 28.9 33.0 / 35.0
Takeaways 3.6 / 6.2 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
60%MONEY40%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
NYI
MIN
NYI
ML
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
100% 2-0-1
67% 2-1
100% 2-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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