PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
20-30 | Road
112
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
25-26 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
PISTONS
100%
76ERS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.6
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.6 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -4.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1-7 points
27.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
22.5%
DET By 1-7 points
19.1%
DET By 8-14 points
8.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
116.7
PHILADELPHIA
Detroit
112.06
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
114
PHILADELPHIA
Detroit
107
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.6
D
Sim
76ers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
DET @ PHI
116 - 93
Mar 12, 2026
PHI @ DET
109 - 131
Nov 14, 2025
PHI @ DET
105 - 114
Nov 9, 2025
DET @ PHI
111 - 108
Feb 7, 2025
PHI @ DET
112 - 125
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Philadelphia: 37.0%
vs
Detroit: 32.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+29.7% more
Detroit: 12.4
vs
Philadelphia: 9.6
Blocks (L5)
+26.9% more
Detroit: 4.3
vs
Philadelphia: 3.4
Rebounding (L5)
+16.6% more
Detroit: 43.7
vs
Philadelphia: 37.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
116.7
112
DET Score
112.1
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 37.0
38.6 / 41.9
Assists
26.5 / 26.4
32.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.4
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 46.8
45.4 / 49.4
Free Throw %
84.1 / 75.5
76.9 / 85.0
Rebounding
43.7 / 37.5
56.0 / 38.0
Steals
10.7 / 9.9
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 9.6
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
PHI
DET
PHI
ML
55%
64-53
63%
69-40
49%
47-49
48%
45-48
ATS
53%
60-54-3
65%
71-38
49%
47-49
48%
45-48
TTL
60%
70-46-1
55%
60-49
100%
96-0
100%
93-0
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