NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
25-21-7 | Road
3
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
38-14-3 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 4.16 | 0.852 | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 3.00 | 0.914 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.16
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.852
Save %
Ldr 0.914
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
JETS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
NYI By 1 goal
19.5%
NYI By 2-3 goals
26.2%
WPG By 1 goal
14.0%
WPG By 2-3 goals
12.0%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
4.02
NEW YORK
Winnipeg
3.34
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
NYI @ WPG
4 - 5
Oct 13, 2025
WPG @ NYI
5 - 2
Mar 4, 2025
WPG @ NYI
2 - 3
Feb 7, 2025
NYI @ WPG
3 - 4
Mar 23, 2024
WPG @ NYI
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+23.4% more
New York: 23.4
vs
Winnipeg: 17.9
Takeaways (L5)
+18.6% more
New York: 6.3
vs
Winnipeg: 5.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.3%
New York: 54.3%
vs
Winnipeg: 45.0%
Power Play % (L5)
+38.3%
Winnipeg: 47.1%
vs
New York: 8.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
4.0
3
WPG Score
3.3
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.6 / 16.6
18.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
45.0 / 54.3
44.0 / 56.0
Hits
17.9 / 23.4
19.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
4713.0 / 881.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.8 / 25.8
27.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 6.3
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
NYI
WPG
NYI
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List