ORLANDO
MAGICORL
25-27 | Road
90
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
32-19 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
NUGGETS
0%
MAGIC
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.4
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.4 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -4.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
ORL By 1-7 points
19.5%
ORL By 8-14 points
8.7%
DEN By 1-7 points
27.3%
DEN By 8-14 points
22.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
109.88
ORLANDO
Denver
114.3
DENVER
Simulated Score
Orlando
102
ORLANDO
Denver
118
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.4
D
Sim
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 27, 2025
DEN @ ORL
126 - 127
Dec 18, 2025
ORL @ DEN
115 - 126
Feb 6, 2025
ORL @ DEN
90 - 112
Jan 19, 2025
DEN @ ORL
113 - 100
Jan 5, 2024
ORL @ DEN
122 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+38.6% more
Denver: 33.4
vs
Orlando: 24.1
Blocks (L5)
+32.4% more
Denver: 5.2
vs
Orlando: 3.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.6%
Denver: 88.1%
vs
Orlando: 76.5%
Rebounding (L5)
+11.2% more
Denver: 46.1
vs
Orlando: 41.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
109.9
90
DEN Score
114.3
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 34.5
40.0 / 16.1
Assists
33.4 / 24.1
33.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.2 / 3.9
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
53.6 / 46.1
53.0 / 36.9
Free Throw %
88.1 / 76.5
57.1 / 76.7
Rebounding
46.1 / 41.4
52.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.0 / 8.3
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 12.1
20.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
ORL
DEN
ORL
ML
54%
57-48
61%
65-42
55%
47-39
56%
51-40
ATS
63%
65-38-2
64%
68-38-1
55%
47-39
56%
51-40
TTL
54%
56-48-1
57%
61-46
100%
86-0
100%
91-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Donovan Mitchell Sounds Off on Ring Culture Disrespect Toward Ja…
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …