INDIANA
PACERSIND
28-21 | Road
119
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
28-22 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
PACERS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
IND By 1-7 points
24.9%
IND By 8-14 points
14.5%
LAC By 1-7 points
25.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
16.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
115.92
INDIANA
LA
116.4
LA
Simulated Score
Indiana
112
INDIANA
LA
117
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.5
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 27, 2026
LAC @ IND
114 - 113
Mar 4, 2026
IND @ LAC
107 - 130
Feb 23, 2025
LAC @ IND
111 - 129
Feb 6, 2025
IND @ LAC
119 - 112
Mar 25, 2024
IND @ LAC
133 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.7%
LA: 83.6%
vs
Indiana: 78.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
LA: 34.0%
vs
Indiana: 30.0%
Blocks (L5)
+22.7% more
Indiana: 6.6
vs
LA: 5.1
Steals (L5)
+21.5% more
Indiana: 10.2
vs
LA: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
115.9
119
LAC Score
116.4
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 30.0
42.5 / 33.3
Assists
25.7 / 29.5
25.0 / 31.0
Blocks
5.1 / 6.6
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 48.0
46.6 / 45.3
Free Throw %
83.6 / 78.9
72.2 / 83.3
Rebounding
42.3 / 39.4
48.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.0 / 10.2
5.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 13.8
19.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
IND
LAC
IND
ML
60%
59-40
48%
47-50
55%
45-37
54%
45-38
ATS
66%
65-33-1
59%
57-40
55%
45-37
54%
45-38
TTL
59%
58-40-1
54%
52-45
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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