CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
40-10 | Road
118
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
25-25 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
PISTONS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
27.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
20.4%
DET By 1-7 points
21.4%
DET By 8-14 points
10.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
120.28
CLEVELAND
Detroit
117.12
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
105
CLEVELAND
Detroit
97
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.2
D
Sim
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 237.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 202.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 17, 2026
CLE @ DET
125 - 94
May 15, 2026
DET @ CLE
115 - 94
May 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
117 - 113
May 11, 2026
DET @ CLE
103 - 112
May 9, 2026
DET @ CLE
109 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+12.7% more
Cleveland: 49.3
vs
Detroit: 43.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Cleveland: 37.4%
vs
Detroit: 32.5%
Steals (L5)
+34.2% more
Detroit: 9.6
vs
Cleveland: 7.2
Turnovers (L5)
+13.1% more
Detroit: 12.6
vs
Cleveland: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
120.3
118
DET Score
117.1
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 37.4
32.4 / 42.1
Assists
28.7 / 28.1
22.0 / 28.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.6
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 49.1
39.8 / 48.2
Free Throw %
81.5 / 81.6
89.3 / 83.3
Rebounding
43.1 / 49.3
45.0 / 46.0
Steals
9.6 / 7.2
13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 11.1
12.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
55%
64-53
60%
69-46
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
ATS
53%
60-54-3
67%
75-37-3
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
TTL
60%
70-46-1
59%
68-47
100%
96-0
100%
99-0
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