MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
26-22 | Road
112
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
12-35 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
HORNETS
100%
BUCKS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.6
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.6 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -7.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
25.7%
MIL By 8-14 points
25.9%
CHA By 1-7 points
14.3%
CHA By 8-14 points
5.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
115.09
MILWAUKEE
Charlotte
107.45
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
108
MILWAUKEE
Charlotte
103
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.6
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 2, 2026
CHA @ MIL
121 - 122
Dec 29, 2025
MIL @ CHA
123 - 113
Nov 14, 2025
CHA @ MIL
134 - 147
Nov 12, 2025
MIL @ CHA
100 - 111
Feb 5, 2025
MIL @ CHA
112 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+18.7% more
Milwaukee: 4.5
vs
Charlotte: 3.7
Steals (L5)
+14.0% more
Milwaukee: 7.7
vs
Charlotte: 6.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Milwaukee: 36.6%
vs
Charlotte: 34.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Milwaukee: 45.1%
vs
Charlotte: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
115.1
112
CHA Score
107.5
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 36.6
32.4 / 42.9
Assists
25.1 / 27.0
21.0 / 26.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.5
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 45.1
43.2 / 50.6
Free Throw %
82.1 / 66.0
75.0 / 92.3
Rebounding
46.2 / 40.1
41.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.7 / 7.7
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 12.7
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
MIL
CHA
MIL
ML
61%
60-39
64%
61-35
48%
40-44
60%
49-32
ATS
60%
59-40
68%
65-31
48%
40-44
60%
49-32
TTL
58%
57-42
55%
53-43
100%
84-0
100%
81-0
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