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CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

22-29  |  Road

108
FINAL
Wed, Feb 5 • 8:00 PM ET
Target Center
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TIMBERWOLVESMIN

27-23  |  Home

127
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
📊
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
BULLS --
TIMBERWOLVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (Minnesota)
BullsCHI (-3.5) 0 TimberwolvesMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

37.3%

Timberwolves Cover

62.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

CHI By 1-7 points

21.3%

CHI By 8-14 points

10.3%

MIN By 1-7 points

27.3%

MIN By 8-14 points

20.5%

AI Model Projected Score
113.81
CHICAGO
117.05
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
119
CHICAGO
125
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Timberwolves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Timberwolves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Timberwolves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.2
D
Sim Timberwolves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 230.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 244.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 CHI @ MIN 120 - 115
Dec 29, 2025 MIN @ CHI 136 - 101
Oct 16, 2025 MIN @ CHI 120 - 126
Feb 5, 2025 CHI @ MIN 108 - 127
Nov 7, 2024 MIN @ CHI 135 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +37.9% more
Minnesota: 7.5 vs Chicago: 5.4
Blocks (L5) +30.7% more
Minnesota: 6.2 vs Chicago: 4.8
Free Throw % (L5) +3.3%
Minnesota: 87.8% vs Chicago: 84.5%
Rebounding (L5) +11.2% more
Chicago: 46.0 vs Minnesota: 40.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 113.8 108
MIN Score 117.1 127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 40.7 42.6 / 33.3
Assists 29.0 / 31.2 27.0 / 25.0
Blocks 6.2 / 4.8 8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 48.2 42.9 / 48.2
Free Throw % 87.8 / 84.5 82.1 / 72.7
Rebounding 40.8 / 46.0 59.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.5 / 5.4 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 14.1 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
MIN Advantage
55-39-0 (58.5%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI Advantage
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
MIN
42-52-0 (44.7%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHI
MIN
CHI
ML
54% 63-53
56% 54-42
54% 50-43
57% 46-35
ATS
58% 67-49
65% 62-33-1
54% 50-43
57% 46-35
TTL
63% 72-43-1
58% 56-40
100% 93-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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