BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
27-22-6 | Road
2
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
25-23-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Will Borgen
#17 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Borgen | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.00 | 0.882 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.882
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
RANGERS
0%
BRUINS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
BOS By 1 goal
8.8%
BOS By 2-3 goals
5.7%
NYR By 1 goal
19.0%
NYR By 2-3 goals
34.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2.7
BOSTON
New York
4.27
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Bruins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
NYR @ BOS
0 - 3
Jan 26, 2026
BOS @ NYR
3 - 4
Jan 10, 2026
NYR @ BOS
2 - 10
Nov 28, 2025
NYR @ BOS
6 - 2
Oct 4, 2025
NYR @ BOS
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+52.5% more
New York: 29.3
vs
Boston: 19.2
Power Play % (L5)
+22.4%
New York: 48.7%
vs
Boston: 26.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.3%
New York: 55.0%
vs
Boston: 49.7%
Takeaways (L5)
+52.4% more
Boston: 7.2
vs
New York: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.7
2
NYR Score
4.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.3 / 14.3
22.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
55.0 / 49.7
55.4 / 44.6
Hits
29.3 / 19.2
32.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
4866.0 / 2623.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.9 / 28.5
22.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 7.2
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
BOS
NYR
BOS
ML
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
TTL
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List