EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
33-16-4 | Road
4
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
16-31-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Murphy
#5 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Murphy | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 3.91 | 0.895 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.91
--
Save %
0.895
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
BLACKHAWKS
100%
OILERS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
28.4%
CHI By 1 goal
12.7%
CHI By 2-3 goals
10.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3.36
EDMONTON
Chicago
2.47
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
CHI @ EDM
1 - 3
Jan 12, 2026
EDM @ CHI
4 - 1
Nov 1, 2025
CHI @ EDM
2 - 3
Feb 5, 2025
EDM @ CHI
4 - 3
Jan 11, 2025
EDM @ CHI
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+45.0% more
Edmonton: 39.9
vs
Chicago: 22.0
Power Play % (L5)
+6.1%
Edmonton: 19.5%
vs
Chicago: 13.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+38.4% more
Chicago: 16.8
vs
Edmonton: 12.1
Hits (L5)
+28.9% more
Chicago: 18.6
vs
Edmonton: 14.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.4
4
CHI Score
2.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.8 / 12.1
8.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
48.8 / 43.9
49.0 / 51.0
Hits
18.6 / 14.5
18.0 / 7.0
Power Play %
13.4 / 19.5
100.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
22.0 / 39.9
32.0 / 38.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 4.6
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
EDM
CHI
EDM
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
33%
1-2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1-1
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…