HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
32-17 | Road
97
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
16-33 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKETS
100%
NETS
0%
ROCKETS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
HOU By 1-7 points
24.1%
HOU By 8-14 points
13.5%
BKN By 1-7 points
26.3%
BKN By 8-14 points
17.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
105.25
HOUSTON
Brooklyn
106.37
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Houston
98
HOUSTON
Brooklyn
110
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.1
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 211.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 1, 2026
HOU @ BKN
120 - 96
Oct 27, 2025
BKN @ HOU
109 - 137
Feb 4, 2025
HOU @ BKN
97 - 99
Feb 1, 2025
BKN @ HOU
110 - 98
Jan 27, 2024
HOU @ BKN
104 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+21.7% more
Brooklyn: 6.2
vs
Houston: 5.1
Turnovers (L5)
+8.1% more
Houston: 14.5
vs
Brooklyn: 13.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.2%
Houston: 80.9%
vs
Brooklyn: 75.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
105.3
97
BKN Score
106.4
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 32.9
37.0 / 34.4
Assists
23.3 / 23.3
26.0 / 23.0
Blocks
6.2 / 5.1
9.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 44.6
46.3 / 41.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 80.9
76.5 / 66.7
Rebounding
42.7 / 46.2
39.0 / 45.0
Steals
7.8 / 7.8
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 14.5
14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
HOU
BKN
HOU
ML
53%
50-45
61%
69-44
59%
48-34
59%
51-35
ATS
52%
48-44-3
62%
70-43
59%
48-34
59%
51-35
TTL
57%
54-41
51%
58-55
100%
82-0
100%
86-0
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