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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

32-16-4  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Feb 4 • 8:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

24-25-4  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Ty Emberson
GOALTENDER

Ty Emberson

#49 | Defense
@
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ty Emberson None-None -- -- --
Jordan Binnington None-None 2.88 0.923 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.88
-- Save % 0.923
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
OILERS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (St. Louis)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

46.8%

Blues Cover

53.2%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

EDM By 1 goal

16.7%

EDM By 2-3 goals

17.0%

STL By 1 goal

18.1%

STL By 2-3 goals

20.4%

AI Model Projected Score
2.44
EDMONTON
2.6
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
4
EDMONTON
2
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim Oilers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 EDM @ STL 2 - 3
Jan 18, 2026 STL @ EDM 0 - 5
Nov 3, 2025 EDM @ STL 2 - 3
Apr 9, 2025 STL @ EDM 3 - 4
Feb 4, 2025 EDM @ STL 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +82.9% more
St. Louis: 27.8 vs Edmonton: 15.2
Takeaways (L5) +23.5% more
St. Louis: 4.8 vs Edmonton: 3.9
Faceoff % (L5) +10.3%
St. Louis: 58.0% vs Edmonton: 47.7%
Shots on Goal (L5) +36.2% more
Edmonton: 40.4 vs St. Louis: 25.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 2.4 3
STL Score 2.6 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 11.9 / 11.7 14.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 58.0 / 47.7 63.8 / 36.2
Hits 27.8 / 15.2 28.0 / 13.0
Power Play % 7.4 / 12.6 100.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 25.8 / 40.4 22.0 / 39.0
Takeaways 4.8 / 3.9 6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
98%MONEY2%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
97%MONEY3%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
EDM
STL
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 1-1-1
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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