DALLAS
STARSDAL
34-17-1 | Road
1
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
22-24-6 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jackson LaCombe
#2 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 2.07 | 0.929 | -- |
| Jackson LaCombe | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.07
GAA
--
0.929
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
DUCKS
100%
STARS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1 goal
19.5%
DAL By 2-3 goals
26.3%
ANA By 1 goal
13.9%
ANA By 2-3 goals
11.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3.23
DALLAS
Anaheim
2.54
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Stars (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
DAL @ ANA
1 - 3
Dec 19, 2025
DAL @ ANA
8 - 3
Nov 6, 2025
ANA @ DAL
7 - 5
Mar 18, 2025
ANA @ DAL
3 - 4
Feb 4, 2025
DAL @ ANA
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+26.3%
Dallas: 33.6%
vs
Anaheim: 7.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+12.0%
Dallas: 53.7%
vs
Anaheim: 41.7%
Takeaways (L5)
+9.9% more
Anaheim: 3.9
vs
Dallas: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.2
1
ANA Score
2.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.0 / 17.3
16.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
41.7 / 53.7
44.3 / 55.7
Hits
20.2 / 20.7
41.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
732.0 / 3361.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.2 / 27.8
28.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 3.5
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
DAL
ANA
DAL
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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