CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
21-28 | Road
119
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
24-24 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
PISTONS
100%
BULLS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
27.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
20.1%
DET By 1-7 points
21.7%
DET By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
112.46
CHICAGO
Detroit
109.48
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Detroit
109
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Bulls (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
DET @ CHI
126 - 110
Jan 7, 2026
CHI @ DET
93 - 108
Nov 12, 2025
CHI @ DET
113 - 124
Oct 22, 2025
DET @ CHI
111 - 115
Feb 12, 2025
DET @ CHI
128 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+25.7% more
Chicago: 30.0
vs
Detroit: 22.3
Blocks (L5)
+22.1% more
Chicago: 6.5
vs
Detroit: 5.0
Turnovers (L5)
+13.4% more
Chicago: 14.2
vs
Detroit: 12.3
Rebounding (L5)
+8.2% more
Chicago: 49.1
vs
Detroit: 45.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
112.5
119
DET Score
109.5
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 38.5
33.3 / 36.5
Assists
22.3 / 30.0
38.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.0 / 6.5
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 45.8
54.5 / 46.1
Free Throw %
79.8 / 83.7
69.2 / 90.0
Rebounding
45.1 / 49.1
42.0 / 44.0
Steals
9.4 / 5.7
14.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 14.2
11.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHI
DET
CHI
ML
55%
64-53
56%
54-42
49%
47-49
57%
46-35
ATS
53%
60-54-3
65%
62-33-1
49%
47-49
57%
46-35
TTL
60%
70-46-1
58%
56-40
100%
96-0
100%
81-0
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