AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
RAPTORS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.7
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.7 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -6.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
26.5%
LAC By 8-14 points
25.0%
TOR By 1-7 points
15.9%
TOR By 8-14 points
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
117.65
LA
Toronto
111
TORONTO
Simulated Score
LA
109
LA
Toronto
114
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.7
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
TOR @ LAC
94 - 119
Jan 16, 2026
LAC @ TOR
121 - 117
Feb 2, 2025
LAC @ TOR
108 - 115
Nov 9, 2024
TOR @ LAC
103 - 105
Jan 26, 2024
LAC @ TOR
127 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+22.3% more
LA: 16.0
vs
Toronto: 12.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.6%
LA: 80.4%
vs
Toronto: 72.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
LA: 51.1%
vs
Toronto: 46.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
LA: 38.5%
vs
Toronto: 34.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
117.7
108
TOR Score
111.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 38.5
52.0 / 32.1
Assists
29.6 / 24.7
31.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.6 / 4.2
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 51.1
51.8 / 46.6
Free Throw %
72.8 / 80.4
87.5 / 81.0
Rebounding
44.1 / 47.7
43.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.5 / 8.4
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 16.0
14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
LAC
TOR
LAC
ML
55%
57-47
60%
59-40
55%
48-39
55%
45-37
ATS
61%
62-40-2
66%
65-33-1
55%
48-39
55%
45-37
TTL
60%
62-42
59%
58-40-1
100%
87-0
100%
82-0