Home / NBA Projections NBA / Celtics @ 76ers BOS @ PHI

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

34-15  |  Road

118
FINAL
Sun, Feb 2 • 6:00 PM ET
Wells Fargo Center
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

19-28  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
📊
76ERS
100%
CELTICS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.2
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.2 points (Boston)
CelticsBOS (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Celtics Cover

73.3%

76ers Cover

26.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -6.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1-7 points

26.7%

BOS By 8-14 points

24.5%

PHI By 1-7 points

16.6%

PHI By 8-14 points

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
117.17
BOSTON
110.96
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
107
BOSTON
112
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Celtics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Celtics (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.2
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 228.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 2, 2026 PHI @ BOS 109 - 100
Apr 30, 2026 BOS @ PHI 93 - 106
Apr 28, 2026 PHI @ BOS 113 - 97
Apr 26, 2026 BOS @ PHI 128 - 96
Apr 24, 2026 BOS @ PHI 108 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +42.2% more
Boston: 5.3 vs Philadelphia: 3.0
Rebounding (L5) +17.0% more
Boston: 41.2 vs Philadelphia: 34.2
Assists (L5) +8.3% more
Boston: 29.1 vs Philadelphia: 26.7
Steals (L5) +21.5% more
Philadelphia: 10.4 vs Boston: 8.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 117.2 118
PHI Score 111.0 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.6 / 38.7 46.9 / 42.9
Assists 26.7 / 29.1 20.0 / 34.0
Blocks 3.0 / 5.3 2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 51.0 / 47.2 45.1 / 50.0
Free Throw % 81.5 / 77.7 75.0 / 81.3
Rebounding 34.2 / 41.2 46.0 / 38.0
Steals 10.4 / 8.5 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 11.3 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS Advantage
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
BOS
PHI
BOS
ML
63% 69-40
57% 61-46
48% 45-48
53% 47-41
ATS
65% 71-38
59% 61-43-3
48% 45-48
53% 47-41
TTL
55% 60-49
56% 60-47
100% 93-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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