NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
24-20-7 | Road
3
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
31-19-3 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jakub Skarek
#1 | G@
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Skarek | None-None | 5.29 | 0.844 | -- |
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.29
GAA
--
0.844
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
NYI By 1 goal
17.6%
NYI By 2-3 goals
19.1%
FLA By 1 goal
17.3%
FLA By 2-3 goals
18.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.31
NEW YORK
Florida
3.27
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
FLA @ NYI
2 - 5
Mar 1, 2026
FLA @ NYI
4 - 5
Dec 7, 2025
NYI @ FLA
1 - 4
Mar 16, 2025
FLA @ NYI
2 - 4
Feb 2, 2025
NYI @ FLA
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+53.7% more
New York: 5.2
vs
Florida: 2.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+41.1% more
New York: 21.0
vs
Florida: 12.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.6%
New York: 52.2%
vs
Florida: 49.6%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.6% more
Florida: 38.0
vs
New York: 30.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.3
3
FLA Score
3.3
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.4 / 21.0
12.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
49.6 / 52.2
33.9 / 66.1
Hits
27.8 / 27.2
28.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
20.5 / 3.2
50.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
38.0 / 30.5
33.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
2.4 / 5.2
9.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
NYI
FLA
NYI
ML
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-4
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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