AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
ROCKETS
100%
NETS
--
ROCKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
BKN By 1-7 points
26.6%
BKN By 8-14 points
18.0%
HOU By 1-7 points
23.5%
HOU By 8-14 points
12.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
107.45
BROOKLYN
Houston
105.81
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
114
BROOKLYN
Houston
106
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.6
D
Sim
Nets (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 213.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 1, 2026
HOU @ BKN
120 - 96
Oct 27, 2025
BKN @ HOU
109 - 137
Feb 4, 2025
HOU @ BKN
97 - 99
Feb 1, 2025
BKN @ HOU
110 - 98
Jan 27, 2024
HOU @ BKN
104 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+25.5% more
Brooklyn: 5.3
vs
Houston: 3.9
Rebounding (L5)
+8.5% more
Houston: 44.5
vs
Brooklyn: 41.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
Houston: 37.3%
vs
Brooklyn: 30.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Houston: 45.7%
vs
Brooklyn: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
107.5
110
HOU Score
105.8
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 30.0
30.8 / 37.0
Assists
23.1 / 22.9
18.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.3
6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 41.7
40.0 / 49.4
Free Throw %
78.8 / 80.2
66.7 / 66.7
Rebounding
44.5 / 41.1
44.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.6 / 9.2
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 14.5
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
BKN
HOU
BKN
ML
61%
69-44
53%
50-45
59%
51-35
59%
48-34
ATS
62%
70-43
52%
48-44-3
59%
51-35
59%
48-34
TTL
51%
58-55
57%
54-41
100%
86-0
100%
82-0