PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
25-22 | Road
108
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
19-29 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
SUNS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.9
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.9 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -5.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
26.9%
PHX By 8-14 points
24.1%
POR By 1-7 points
17.2%
POR By 8-14 points
7.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
116.2
PHOENIX
Portland
110.35
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Phoenix
107
PHOENIX
Portland
102
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Suns
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.9
D
Sim
Suns (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 209.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
POR @ PHX
114 - 110
Feb 22, 2026
POR @ PHX
92 - 77
Feb 3, 2026
PHX @ POR
130 - 125
Nov 18, 2025
PHX @ POR
127 - 110
Feb 3, 2025
PHX @ POR
119 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+26.8% more
Phoenix: 31.3
vs
Portland: 22.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Phoenix: 51.0%
vs
Portland: 48.2%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.3%
Portland: 78.6%
vs
Phoenix: 76.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
116.2
108
POR Score
110.4
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.6 / 41.9
29.0 / 30.3
Assists
22.9 / 31.3
24.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.1 / 5.5
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 51.0
51.7 / 45.2
Free Throw %
78.6 / 76.3
83.9 / 84.6
Rebounding
44.1 / 43.6
43.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.8 / 7.2
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 14.7
10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
POR
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
PHX
POR
PHX
ML
53%
56-49
57%
60-45
55%
49-40
51%
45-43
ATS
62%
65-39-1
58%
59-43-3
55%
49-40
51%
45-43
TTL
56%
58-46-1
59%
61-42-2
100%
89-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…