MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
31-17-4 | Road
0
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
27-20-4 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 6.01 | 0.885 | -- |
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.01
GAA
--
0.885
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
SENATORS
0%
WILD
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
MIN By 1 goal
15.6%
MIN By 2-3 goals
14.6%
OTT By 1 goal
18.9%
OTT By 2-3 goals
22.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2.46
MINNESOTA
Ottawa
2.85
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Wild (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
MIN @ OTT
4 - 1
Dec 13, 2025
OTT @ MIN
2 - 3
Feb 1, 2025
MIN @ OTT
0 - 6
Dec 29, 2024
OTT @ MIN
3 - 1
Apr 2, 2024
OTT @ MIN
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+26.1% more
Ottawa: 20.6
vs
Minnesota: 16.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.1%
Ottawa: 51.5%
vs
Minnesota: 40.5%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.3% more
Ottawa: 28.6
vs
Minnesota: 26.4
Takeaways (L5)
+25.0% more
Minnesota: 7.4
vs
Ottawa: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.5
0
OTT Score
2.9
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 18.0
15.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
51.5 / 40.5
70.7 / 29.3
Hits
20.6 / 16.4
19.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
22.2 / 34.3
37.5 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.6 / 26.4
52.0 / 16.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 7.4
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
MIN
OTT
MIN
ML
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
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