NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
18-25-7 | Road
0
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
21-24-8 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Juuse Saros
#74 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | None-None | 2.04 | 0.943 | -- |
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.04
GAA
--
0.943
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PREDATORS
100%
PENGUINS
0%
PREDATORS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
NSH By 1 goal
14.0%
NSH By 2-3 goals
12.0%
PIT By 1 goal
19.5%
PIT By 2-3 goals
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Nashville
2.15
NASHVILLE
Pittsburgh
2.83
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Nashville
2
NASHVILLE
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
NSH @ PIT
0 - 4
Nov 14, 2025
PIT @ NSH
1 - 2
Feb 1, 2025
NSH @ PIT
0 - 3
Dec 19, 2024
PIT @ NSH
5 - 4
Apr 15, 2024
NSH @ PIT
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+38.7% more
Pittsburgh: 14.0
vs
Nashville: 10.1
Hits (L5)
+10.4% more
Pittsburgh: 24.5
vs
Nashville: 22.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.4% more
Nashville: 34.7
vs
Pittsburgh: 29.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.3%
Nashville: 58.5%
vs
Pittsburgh: 54.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NSH Score
2.2
0
PIT Score
2.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.0 / 10.1
13.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
54.2 / 58.5
54.5 / 45.5
Hits
24.5 / 22.2
29.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
1368.0 / 1375.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.1 / 34.7
36.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
5.9 / 5.8
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
NSH
PIT
NSH
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
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