DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
25-21-5 | Road
3
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
25-18-7 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 2.07 | 0.917 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.07
--
Save %
0.917
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
0%
FLAMES
100%
RED WINGS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1 goal
18.5%
DET By 2-3 goals
35.7%
CGY By 1 goal
8.0%
CGY By 2-3 goals
4.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3.77
DETROIT
Calgary
2.05
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.7
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 16, 2026
CGY @ DET
2 - 5
Dec 10, 2025
DET @ CGY
4 - 3
Feb 1, 2025
DET @ CGY
3 - 1
Nov 27, 2024
CGY @ DET
1 - 2
Feb 17, 2024
DET @ CGY
5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.1% more
Detroit: 33.0
vs
Calgary: 28.7
Takeaways (L5)
+18.0% more
Calgary: 4.9
vs
Detroit: 4.1
Hits (L5)
+14.4% more
Calgary: 23.4
vs
Detroit: 20.5
Power Play % (L5)
+5.6%
Calgary: 18.7%
vs
Detroit: 13.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.8
3
CGY Score
2.1
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.9 / 17.2
13.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
52.8 / 48.0
48.4 / 51.6
Hits
23.4 / 20.5
24.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
18.7 / 13.1
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.7 / 33.0
34.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 4.1
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
DET
CGY
DET
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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