Home / NBA Projections NBA / Clippers @ Hornets LAC @ CHA

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

27-20  |  Road

112
FINAL
Fri, Jan 31 • 7:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

12-32  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
CLIPPERS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (LA)
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

75.8%

Hornets Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

LAC By 1-7 points

26.2%

LAC By 8-14 points

25.3%

CHA By 1-7 points

15.3%

CHA By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
117.18
LA
110.19
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
109
LA
102
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Clippers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Clippers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Clippers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 227.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 12, 2026 CHA @ LAC 109 - 117
Nov 22, 2025 LAC @ CHA 131 - 116
Mar 16, 2025 CHA @ LAC 88 - 123
Jan 31, 2025 LAC @ CHA 112 - 104
Mar 31, 2024 LAC @ CHA 130 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +12.2%
LA: 88.0% vs Charlotte: 75.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +8.1%
LA: 49.5% vs Charlotte: 41.4%
Rebounding (L5) +8.0% more
LA: 49.0 vs Charlotte: 45.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
LA: 38.1% vs Charlotte: 34.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 117.2 112
CHA Score 110.2 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 38.1 23.3 / 39.3
Assists 23.2 / 24.1 18.0 / 26.0
Blocks 5.2 / 4.3 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.4 / 49.5 43.8 / 54.3
Free Throw % 75.9 / 88.0 86.7 / 65.0
Rebounding 45.1 / 49.0 42.0 / 45.0
Steals 8.7 / 9.0 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 15.1 9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
LAC
CHA
LAC
ML
61% 60-39
60% 59-40
48% 40-44
55% 45-37
ATS
60% 59-40
66% 65-33-1
48% 40-44
55% 45-37
TTL
58% 57-42
59% 58-40-1
100% 84-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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