CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
20-28 | Road
122
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
15-32 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
RAPTORS
0%
BULLS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.3
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.3 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -4.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
CHI By 1-7 points
19.7%
CHI By 8-14 points
8.9%
TOR By 1-7 points
27.4%
TOR By 8-14 points
22.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
108.66
CHICAGO
Toronto
112.92
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Chicago
95
CHICAGO
Toronto
107
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raptors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.3
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 202.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
TOR @ CHI
139 - 109
Feb 19, 2026
TOR @ CHI
110 - 101
Feb 5, 2026
CHI @ TOR
107 - 123
Apr 1, 2025
TOR @ CHI
118 - 137
Feb 28, 2025
TOR @ CHI
115 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+47.1% more
Toronto: 9.7
vs
Chicago: 6.6
Assists (L5)
+10.4% more
Toronto: 30.9
vs
Chicago: 28.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Toronto: 48.0%
vs
Chicago: 43.5%
Blocks (L5)
+16.2% more
Chicago: 5.2
vs
Toronto: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
108.7
122
TOR Score
112.9
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 35.3
33.3 / 45.0
Assists
30.9 / 28.0
27.0 / 34.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.2
8.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 43.5
42.4 / 50.6
Free Throw %
75.9 / 84.3
66.7 / 82.4
Rebounding
44.1 / 47.7
44.0 / 52.0
Steals
9.7 / 6.6
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 15.9
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
CHI
TOR
CHI
ML
55%
57-47
56%
54-42
55%
48-39
57%
46-35
ATS
61%
62-40-2
65%
62-33-1
55%
48-39
57%
46-35
TTL
60%
62-42
58%
56-40
100%
87-0
100%
81-0
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