VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
23-17-10 | Road
3
DALLAS
STARSDAL
32-17-1 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 3.06 | 0.786 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.00 | 0.897 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.06
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.786
Save %
Ldr 0.897
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
0%
STARS
100%
CANUCKS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
VAN By 1 goal
18.7%
VAN By 2-3 goals
22.2%
DAL By 1 goal
15.9%
DAL By 2-3 goals
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
2.48
VANCOUVER
Dallas
2.16
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Canucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 2, 2026
DAL @ VAN
6 - 1
Nov 20, 2025
DAL @ VAN
4 - 2
Oct 16, 2025
VAN @ DAL
5 - 3
Apr 8, 2025
VAN @ DAL
6 - 5
Mar 9, 2025
DAL @ VAN
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+10.3%
Vancouver: 35.9%
vs
Dallas: 25.7%
Hits (L5)
+8.5% more
Vancouver: 19.8
vs
Dallas: 18.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+44.5% more
Dallas: 19.1
vs
Vancouver: 13.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.7%
Dallas: 49.2%
vs
Vancouver: 43.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
2.5
3
DAL Score
2.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.1 / 13.2
17.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
49.2 / 43.5
56.6 / 43.4
Hits
18.1 / 19.8
24.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
25.7 / 35.9
50.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
25.3 / 25.6
16.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.2 / 3.0
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
VAN
DAL
VAN
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
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