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The Cincinnati Reds are at a crossroads this offseason as they navigate free agency, with starting pitcher Brady Singer set to hit the open market. The club must decide whether to pursue a new contract with Singer and whether to extend a qualifying offer that would keep him in Cincinnati for upwards of $20 million.
Singer's 2025 campaign was a mixed bag. He made 32 starts and posted a 4.03 ERA with a 3.0 WAR, eating innings and giving the Reds a chance to win more often than not. However, he regressed significantly in the latter part of the season, with an ERA near 6.00, 15 losses, and negative WAR. His final 12 starts were particularly concerning, as he allowed at least three earned runs in each.
Given that production, offering Singer a qualifying offer seems unlikely. Spotrac projects him to sign a two-year, $33 million deal, which aligns with fair market value for a veteran pitcher with a clean injury history. Instead, Singer may find a short-term deal with a contending team seeking an innings eater for the back end of their rotation.
Key Analysis
Singer's durability is his strongest asset, having made at least 30 starts in three consecutive seasons. Teams like the New York Yankees, New York Mets, and Milwaukee Brewers could take a chance on him, hoping to tweak his mechanics and unlock his former effectiveness. While a reunion with the Reds is not out of the question, the relationship may have run its course. Singer's market will likely hinge on his reputation as a reliable innings-eater, and a fresh start could benefit both parties.