{"id":3751,"date":"2023-01-02T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-01-02T10:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/boxing-rankings-jan-2-division-outlooks-for-2023\/"},"modified":"2023-01-02T10:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-01-02T10:00:00","slug":"boxing-rankings-jan-2-division-outlooks-for-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/boxing-rankings-jan-2-division-outlooks-for-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Boxing Rankings (Jan. 2): Division outlooks for 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"
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We\u2019re back! It\u2019s a new year! And because it\u2019s a new year, this week we\u2019re going to go a little deeper than normal in the (usually) weekly rankings, with a quick 2023 outlook, and some names in every division to keep an eye on as potential top 10 gatecrashers in 2023 \u2014 some prospects and<\/em> some veterans maybe set to break through or who look to be potentially regaining momentum.<\/p>\n
Rankings go up on Mondays.<\/p>\n
Ranked fights this week:<\/p>\n
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\nWelterweight: <\/strong>(4) Jaron Ennis vs Karen Chukhadzhian, Jan. 7<\/li>\n
\nLightweight: <\/strong>(3) Gervonta Davis vs Hector Luis Garcia, Jan. 7<\/li>\n
\nJunior Lightweight: <\/strong>(4) Hector Luis Garcia vs Gervonta Davis [lightweight], Jan. 7<\/li>\n
\nMinimumweight: <\/strong>(3) Masataka Taniguchi vs Melvin Jerusalem, Jan. 6<\/li>\n
\nMinimumweight: <\/strong>(4) Ginjiro Shigeoka vs (9) Daniel Valladares, Jan. 6<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>All eyes are on whether or not Fury vs Usyk gets made; if it does, we likely crown an undisputed world heavyweight champion, the first in the four-belt era. For now, it looks like the fight will happen, but boxing is weird, and Tyson Fury can be weirder. If not, all kinds of other fights open up, obviously. Usyk has mandatory orders to face Filip Hrgovic and Daniel Dubois both, but not at the same time, no Mike Awesome coming to ringside before Taz vs Masato Tanaka and getting thrown into the match. There could or at least should be something significant again this year for Wilder and Ruiz, possibly one another; Anthony Joshua will be on the comeback trail; veterans Whyte and Parker are kinda hanging on at this point, almost waiting to be lapped; hopefully we see Bakole and Sanchez get something of note, and Sanchez in particular really needs it.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch: <\/strong>Jared Anderson, Daniel Dubois, Filip Hrgovic, Bakhodir Jalolov, Arslanbek Makhmudov<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights: <\/strong>(8) Joseph Parker vs Jack Massey, Jan. 21<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>It\u2019s nice to see this division about to get active again early in the new year, because there are a lot of good fights to be made at cruiserweight. Maybe nobody is GREAT!, but there\u2019s a lot of solid matchmaking to be made. This is also a division that still feels ripe for new blood to make a big impact, as we saw Jai Opetaia do in 2022.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch: <\/strong>Chris Billam-Smith, Kamshybek Kukabayev, Lenar Perez, Richard Riakporhe, Jordan Thompson<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights: <\/strong>(4) Ilunga Junior Makabu vs (9) Noel Mikaelyan, Jan. 21 … (6) Krzysztof Glowacki vs Richard Riakporhe, Jan. 21 … (2) Lawrence Okolie vs David Light, Feb. 11<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>There\u2019s a \u201cthe fight\u201d to be made here, of course, and it\u2019s Bivol vs Beterbiev. We\u2019ll hopefully see that happen \u2014 so long as Beterbiev beats Yarde later this month \u2014 and hopefully something more substantial for Buatsi and Smith, who are the most intriguing guys in the top 10 other than the top two.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch: <\/strong>Dan Azeez, Andre Dirrell, Ali Izmailov, Giorgi Kushitashvili, Albert Ramirez. I don\u2019t intend to go into a lot on these picks (at least not in the post itself), but I do want to explain Andre Dirrell being one of the five here, because I know that may seem puzzling. I\u2019ve been a longtime Andre Dirrell doubter\/detractor\/hater, however you need to put it, but the Andre Dirrell we saw in November was a genuinely different fighter than we\u2019ve seen in years<\/em>. He is 39 years old, yes, but look at that top 10 again \u2014 he can get in there if he makes a move.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights: <\/strong>(2) Artur Beterbiev vs (8) Anthony Yarde, Jan. 28 … (10) Jean Pascal vs Michael Eifert, Feb. 9<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>No offense to anyone else, but for the most part, this division is currently as relevant as Canelo Alvarez makes it. He\u2019s got all four world titles; right now, it looks like he\u2019ll fight on May 6, and that he will defend his crown, possibly against John Ryder, who has the WBO interim title. Benavidez and Plant will fight for a WBC interim in the spring. The winner of that vs Canelo \u2014 assuming Ryder (or whomever) doesn\u2019t shock Canelo \u2014 could get done, though if it\u2019s Plant, that\u2019s business Canelo has already handled and I\u2019m not sure there\u2019s much appetite for a rematch, though Plant would have done everything he can to earn it and make it appealing in that scenario. But Canelo also wants another crack at Dmitry Bivol at 175 lbs. If he makes, say, a Ryder defense and then a move back to 175, the division still feels somewhat stuck. Not that there wouldn\u2019t be a great fight for PBC to make between the Benavidez-Plant winner and Morrell, but … that\u2019s kinda it, really, in terms of major bouts.<\/li>\n
\nComing In: <\/strong>Demetrius Andrade, who returns on Jan. 7 as he enters another New Phase of his career at age 34, still chasing a true money fight. If he looks good, he hits the top 10 next week. On paper right this second, I\u2019d favor him against at least six fighters listed, but it is a weight jump, so we\u2019ll see. \u201cOn paper\u201d ain\u2019t everything. Sometimes it\u2019s basically nothing.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch: <\/strong>Ali Akhmedov, Edgar Berlanga, Bektemir Melikuziev, Oselys Iglesias, Vladimir Shishkin<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights:<\/strong> (2) David Benavidez vs (3) Caleb Plant, TBA<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>Maybe the most frustrating division in the sport in 2022, here\u2019s hoping for something better out of the middleweights in the new year. GGG looks set to face Esquiva Falcao, and if successful and still looking to fight, Erislandy Lara after that. All things considered, I have no problem with that. Jermall Charlo needs to fight. Munguia needs to fight a live body. Guys like Derevyanchenko and Murata and Lara are kinda squatting on spots, as good as they all are. If the \u201ctop fighters\u201d won\u2019t fight each other, then hopefully the next tiers will start fighting one another \u2014 Matchroom\u2019s Felix Cash vs Austin \u201cAmmo\u201d Williams idea for early 2023 is a good one, for instance. The problems up top are obvious, but there\u2019s also been nobody truly breaking out and demanding attention, kicking down the doors. This division has been stagnant basically since Canelo left, in all honesty.<\/li>\n
Upcoming Fights:<\/strong> (4) Chris Eubank Jr vs Liam Smith, Jan. 21 … (1) Gennadiy Golovkin vs Esquiva Falcao, TBA<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>Jermell Charlo sits as undisputed king, and will eventually fight Tim Tszyu in his first undisputed defense. That was supposed to happen Jan. 28, a date that was first reported several months ago and now has fallen apart anyway. If Charlo wins, he likely gets an order to fight Fundora, assuming Fundora doesn\u2019t lose by then. It\u2019s all a bit messy, but there are worse situations littered throughout the sport. The hope will be that we won\u2019t just see one championship fight this year. I\u2019m also hoping we see Conwell make a real step forward, and Madrimov, as well, including maybe not<\/em> having him fight Michel Soro again.<\/li>\n
\nMaybe Coming In: <\/strong>Danny Garcia. We\u2019ll put him here instead of in the \u201cto watch\u201d; he\u2019s already fought at the weight, beating Jose Benavidez Jr. It\u2019s kind of unclear what he\u2019s going to do. He\u2019s talked about fight Erislandy Lara at a catchweight for Lara\u2019s \u201cmiddleweight title,\u201d which is actually a secondary WBA belt but fighters like to pad the stats. It\u2019s also possible he could get an offer back down at 147.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch: <\/strong>Caoimhin Agyarko, Josh Kelly, Bakhram Murtazaliev, Jesus Ramos, Xander Zayas<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights:<\/strong> (5) Liam Smith vs Chris Eubank Jr [middleweight], Jan. 21 … (1) Jermell Charlo vs (4) Tim Tszyu, TBA<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>Spence vs Crawford has to happen this year or it ain\u2019t happening, at least not at this weight for undisputed and all that, at least not as the fight it still can be. Anyway, I figure this is the last week that Yordenis Ugas holds that No. 3 spot; if Boots Ennis does his business as he always does on Jan. 7, he\u2019ll be jumping up to No. 3. I remain unconvinced of the cases vs Ugas otherwise, but we\u2019ve been over that. The potential Stanionis vs Ortiz fight is a good one, and the winner of that could then hop up to No. 4. Listen, Ugas isn\u2019t doing anything, Thurman isn\u2019t doing anything it seems \u2014 it\u2019s time for new blood. This \u201cgreat\u201d division has been, quality-wise, trumped for a couple years now by the one just north and the one just south. If nothing else, I hope we don\u2019t see another year go by where Bud Crawford has one fight against a fringe top 10 guy.<\/li>\n
\nComing In: <\/strong>However things break with Josh Taylor\u2019s rematch with Jack Catterall in early March, it\u2019s expected Taylor will finally move up to 147 after that fight. He meant to after the first Catterall fight, really, but then it went the way it did and he\u2019s spent almost a year now dragging the situation out, and it\u2019ll be just over a year by the time they fight again. A move up may truly be just what Taylor needs. Unfortunately, as a Top Rank\/Queensberry guy, there are only so many options for him at 147, especially with Crawford no longer a Top Rank fighter.<\/li>\n
\nWild Card: <\/strong>Conor Benn, who continues to claim \u201cthe truth will come out,\u201d just like guys in his spot always do; a favorable-to-them \u201ctruth\u201d almost never seems to come to light, but maybe he\u2019ll be the exception. If he fights in 2023, yeah, he\u2019s a guy to consider in the division.<\/li>\n
Upcoming Fights: <\/strong>(4) Jaron Ennis vs Karen Chukhadzhian, Jan. 7<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>It\u2019s kind of a wild division at the moment. Prograis looks like a top guy still, and if Catterall beats Taylor in the spring, then we\u2019ve got him as a top guy, too. If Taylor wins, then he will again vacate another belt, more likely than not. Matias and Jeremias Ponce will have their chances to make a real mark on Feb. 11, fighting for a vacant belt. Guys like Ryan Garcia and Teofimo are major wild cards, could crack on to the top, could sit stagnant, could flame out. Jose Ramirez is still a factor, but passing on the Prograis fight was a bad look. Puello has a belt that could be there for the taking, or he might just cement himself as legit. Zepeda\u2019s still dangerous. Guys like Jose Pedraza and Richard Commey are right there skirting the top 10. And then there\u2019s the next sentence in the next bullet point:<\/li>\n
\nMaybe Coming In: <\/strong>Devin Haney could be a major factor in this division by the end of 2023.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch: <\/strong>Lindolfo Delgado, Richardson Hitchins, Tiger Johnson, Jeremias Ponce, Gary Antuanne Russell. There are actually plenty more intriguing names to consider at this weight, too. This is a packed weight class.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights:<\/strong> (5) Subriel Matias vs Jeremias Ponce, Feb. 11 … (2) Josh Taylor vs (3) Jack Catterall, Mar. 4 … (7) Ryan Garcia vs Gervonta Davis, Apr. 15 … (10) Alberto Puello vs Gary Antuanne Russell, TBA<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\nUpdates: <\/strong>Boy, Frank Martin sure looked good taking Michel Rivera apart on Dec. 17, huh? Rivera was ranked No. 10 last time out; Martin beat him so thoroughly that he jumps straight from \u201cjust outside\u201d to No. 6. May seem unfair, but life\u2019s unfair and boxing gives people that opportunity. Only in America! And other countries.<\/li>\n
\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>Haney reigns as undisputed king, and what he does next will inform a lot of what happens in 2023. If he fights Lomachenko as expected and wins, there\u2019s a very good chance he moves up to 140. Devin is a big lightweight and is probably getting close to growing out of the division. If he wins and leaves, then four belts and some chaos open up \u2014 it\u2019s not really the worst thing, potentially, as long as good fights get made. Tank Davis is majorly intriguing for this year. Loma is still a threat, Martin might be special, Pitbull Cruz is hungry and aggressive and always fun to watch, Zepeda\u2019s trying to make a move, Abdullaev and Ortiz are interesting guys in a vacant titles situation, and so on. And we\u2019ve got a top talent coming in, too.<\/li>\n
\nComing In: <\/strong>Shakur Stevenson will be a major player as soon as he actually fights in this division. There\u2019s no reason to suspect the weight will be an issue, it\u2019s not like he\u2019s a guy who\u2019s heavily featured his power at 126 or 130.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch:<\/strong> Albert Batyrgaziev, Gary Cully, Keyshawn Davis, Gustavo Lemos, Raymond Muratalla<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights: <\/strong>(3) Gervonta Davis vs Hector Luis Garcia, Jan. 7 … (3) Gervonta Davis vs Ryan Garcia, Apr. 15<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\nUpdates: <\/strong>Leo Santa Cruz is back at 130 after finally, 84 years later, officially vacating the 126 lb belt he hadn\u2019t defended since Feb. 2019, also the last time he fought at that weight. Santa Cruz is 2-1 at 130, neither of the wins exactly spectacular and the loss to Tank Davis, but he\u2019s grabbing the No. 10 slot. Look, he\u2019ll either do something this year or not. He honestly doesn\u2019t seem that keen on his career anymore, but he\u2019s had a terrific career. For now, he\u2019s here. It may not last.<\/li>\n
\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>The division will get beefed up by the arrivals of Emanuel Navarrete and Rey Vargas, if they win their vacant title fights in February, and the division needs the beefing. Navarrete won\u2019t be facing Valdez immediately, but that should likely get rescheduled for later in the year. Rakhimov will face Cordina at some point. Garcia\u2019s about to lose his UNDISPUTED! claim soon, not because he might lose to Tank Davis on Jan. 7, since that fight\u2019s not at this weight, but because someone the next month will win a vacant belt and make a dispute. There are good fights to be made at 130, and the potential major additions could add a lot and make this a fine year.<\/li>\n
\nComing In: <\/strong>As mentioned, featherweight titlists Navarrete and Vargas are both headed to 130 in vacant title fights in February. Navarrete will take on Liam Wilson for the WBO, while Vargas faces O\u2019Shaquie Foster for the WBC. If they win, they\u2019ll stay, but neither have vacated their featherweight belts just<\/em> yet, so they\u2019re leaving that open, which is smart.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch: <\/strong>Albert Bell, Andres Cortes, William Foster III, Jadier Herrera, Henry Lebron<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights:<\/strong> (4) Hector Luis Garcia vs Gervonta Davis [lightweight], Jan. 7 … (7) O\u2019Shaquie Foster vs Rey Vargas, Feb. 11<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\nUpdates: <\/strong>With Santa Cruz out at 126, Isaac Dogboe comes in at No. 10. <\/li>\n
\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>Well, we\u2019re most likely losing at least one of two current titleholders, and maybe both of Navarrete and Vargas. If you\u2019re wondering why I keep these guys here but moved out, say, Shakur Stevenson and Bam Rodriguez quickly, it\u2019s because those guys vacated titles and\/or made very<\/em> clear they had no intention of fighting at their weights again. Navarrete and Vargas are seemingly leaving the options open, at least for now, to see how they do at 130. This remains a hugely frustrating, nearly impossible division to rank, and will become even weirder soon when there won\u2019t be a clear, totally deserving No. 1 guy anymore. But there\u2019s not a shortage of talent, either, and there hasn\u2019t been.<\/li>\n
\nComing In: <\/strong>Brandon Figueroa has a fight at the weight and could be a key in the division in 2023. He could be ranked already, and will be in a few weeks when we get Navarrete and\/or Vargas officially out and sort of reevaluate at that time. It may seem like the new year is the right time to reshuffle, but I think it\u2019s in a few weeks. The calendar turning over isn\u2019t going to fix all your problems and it\u2019s not the right time for this. Life goes on. New February, new featherweights.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch: <\/strong>Nick Ball, Michael Conlan, Raymond Ford, Duke Ragan, Robeisy Ramirez<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights:<\/strong> (1) Emanuel Navarrete vs Oscar Valdez [junior lightweight], Feb. 3 … (3) Rey Vargas vs O\u2019Shaquie Foster [junior lightweight], Feb. 11<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>Fulton and Akhmadaliev own two belts apiece, and they have mostly cleaned out this division. Aleem and Nery are there as maybe the last serious threats. BUT WAIT!<\/li>\n
\nComing In: <\/strong>Naoya Inoue. Don\u2019t need to say much more than that. We\u2019ll see if he can get fights with the top guys. If he can, things change fast, one way or the other, and we have some real intrigue.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch: <\/strong>Sam Goodman, Carl Jammes Martin, Shabaz Masoud, Luis Rodriguez, Hector Valdez<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights:<\/strong> TBA<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\nUpdates: <\/strong>Inoue is likely finished up at bantamweight, dominating Paul Butler to go undisputed on Dec. 13. Vincent Astrolabio really solidified himself as a serious contender with a pretty dominant win over Nikolai Potapov on Dec. 17, too.<\/li>\n
\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>With Inoue headed out, we\u2019re going to have four vacant belts. That opens many possibilities. We could make guesses about vacant title fights, but you never know who will accept what order and so on.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch: <\/strong>Kazuki Anaguchi, Michell Banquez, Ramon Cardenas, Lee McGregor, Victor Santillan. A special shout-out to Guillermo Rigondeaux, who is slated to return in February. He\u2019s 100 years old but you can never count that guy out. His situation is a bit sketchier than Andre Dirrell\u2019s, because Dirrell is with a power broker and Rigo isn\u2019t, but hey, vacant titles, he\u2019ll be out there \u2014 don\u2019t forget him.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights: <\/strong>TBA<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\nUpdates: <\/strong>We didn\u2019t get a winner between Ioka and Franco, but we do have a shake-up. I thought Franco deserved the win \u2014 not by a ton, but I thought he deserved it. That moves the top five around some. It\u2019s a really <\/em>good top five, man. This has been one of the best, most exciting, most competitive divisions in the sport for years now, and remains so. Ancajas falls out because he\u2019s moving up to bantamweight in early February.<\/li>\n
\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>Top veterans are still in the mix, Franco clearly can hold his own at the top level, and then you have Nakatani, who could be a major threat, and I still like Tanaka\u2019s potential upside, too. We may not see Estrada vs Chocolatito again, but there are a lot of good fights to be made in this division.<\/li>\n
\nWild Card: <\/strong>Nonito Donaire has suggested he might want to come down in weight for the right fight. With a bunch of belts vacated soon at 118, he might go after one of those, but there could be good money and a legacy-type fight at 115.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch: <\/strong>Isaac Arias, Jade Bornea, Argi Cortes, David Cuellar, John Ramirez<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights: <\/strong>TBA<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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\n2023 Outlook: <\/strong>Edwards established himself as the deserving No. 1 fighter in the division this year, aided somewhat by Martinez\u2019s stock falling pretty heavily for a guy who is still No. 2. This is a division with some potential heavy impacts to come from outside the top 10 this year, rising stars, and a guy coming down in weight who will be expected to become a top fighter immediately.<\/li>\n
\nComing In: <\/strong>Jesse \u201cBam\u201d Rodriguez is coming down to flyweight after a great run at 115 lbs in 2022, where he became a breakout star and Fighter of the Year candidate.<\/li>\n
\nFive to Watch: <\/strong>Angel Ayala, Samuel Carmona, Galal Yafai, Taku Kuwahara, Cristofer Rosales<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Upcoming Fights: <\/strong>(3) Artem Dalakian vs (5) David Jimenez, Jan. 28<\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n
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