{"id":33305,"date":"2026-04-16T09:11:54","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T09:11:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/?p=33305"},"modified":"2026-04-18T18:49:45","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T18:49:45","slug":"pacific-division-power-play-can-calgary-cool-the-kings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/pacific-division-power-play-can-calgary-cool-the-kings\/","title":{"rendered":"Pacific Division Power Play: Can Calgary Cool the Kings?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 data-path-to-node=\"5\"><b data-path-to-node=\"5\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">1. AI Model Predictions &amp; Averages<\/b><\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"6\">Aggregated forecasts from top-tier sports AI models for the final score:<\/p>\n<table data-path-to-node=\"7\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>AI Model<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Predicted Score (LAK)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Predicted Score (CGY)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Predicted Winner<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,1,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"7,1,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">BetQL<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,1,1,0\">3.4<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,1,2,0\">2.5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,1,3,0\">Kings<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><span data-path-to-node=\"7,2,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"7,2,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">SportsLine<\/b><\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,2,1,0\">3.2<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,2,2,0\">2.8<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,2,3,0\">Kings<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,3,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"7,3,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">ESPN (FPI-based)<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,3,1,0\">3.5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,3,2,0\">2.3<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,3,3,0\">Kings<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,4,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"7,4,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Dimers AI<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,4,1,0\">3.1<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,4,2,0\">2.7<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,4,3,0\">Kings<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,5,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"7,5,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">PicksWise AI<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,5,1,0\">3.0<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,5,2,0\">2.4<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,5,3,0\">Kings<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,6,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"7,6,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">AVERAGE<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,6,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"7,6,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">3.24<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,6,2,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"7,6,2,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">2.54<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-path-to-node=\"7,6,3,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"7,6,3,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Kings (-0.7)<\/b><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr data-path-to-node=\"8\" \/>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"9\"><b data-path-to-node=\"9\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">2. Independent Analysis (Gemini Prediction)<\/b><\/h3>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"10\"><b data-path-to-node=\"10\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">A. Pythagorean Win Percentage<\/b><\/h4>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"11\">The Pythagorean expectation uses goals for (<span class=\"math-inline\" data-math=\"GF\" data-index-in-node=\"44\">$GF$<\/span>) and goals against (<span class=\"math-inline\" data-math=\"GA\" data-index-in-node=\"67\">$GA$<\/span>) to determine a team&#8217;s &#8220;true&#8221; quality.<\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"12\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"12,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"12,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><a href=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/team\/nhl\/los-angeles-kings\/MjAzMzA=\">Kings<\/a>:<\/b> <span class=\"math-inline\" data-math=\"GF: 251, GA: 271\" data-index-in-node=\"7\">$GF: 251, GA: 271$<\/span>. Pythagorean Win %: <b data-path-to-node=\"12,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"44\">46.1%<\/b><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"12,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"12,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><a href=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/team\/nhl\/calgary-flames\/MTE4\">Flames<\/a>:<\/b> <span class=\"math-inline\" data-math=\"GF: 231, GA: 280\" data-index-in-node=\"8\">$GF: 231, GA: 280$<\/span>. Pythagorean Win %: <b data-path-to-node=\"12,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"45\">40.5%<\/b><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"12,2,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"12,2,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Edge:<\/b> <b data-path-to-node=\"12,2,0\" data-index-in-node=\"6\">Kings<\/b>. While both teams have negative goal differentials, the Kings\u2019 underlying metrics suggest they are a significantly more stable team defensively than the Flames.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"13\"><b data-path-to-node=\"13\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">B. Strength of Schedule (SOS) &amp; Recent Trends<\/b><\/h4>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"14\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"14,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"14,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">SOS:<\/b> The Kings have faced a middle-of-the-pack schedule in the Pacific Division but have performed better against bottom-tier teams (like Calgary) than their record suggests.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"14,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"14,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Trends:<\/b> The Kings are fighting for playoff seeding (currently 4th in the Pacific), whereas Calgary is 7th and effectively eliminated from contention. Calgary is on a losing streak and dealing with significant &#8220;end-of-season&#8221; fatigue.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"15\"><b data-path-to-node=\"15\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">C. Key External Factors (Injuries &amp; Goaltending)<\/b><\/h4>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"16\">\n<li>\n<p id=\"p-rc_0f1f7edd70a25c69-22\" data-path-to-node=\"16,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"16,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Calgary:<\/b><span class=\"citation-14\"> Starting goalie <\/span><b data-path-to-node=\"16,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"25\"><span class=\"citation-14\">Devin Cooley<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-14 citation-end-14\"> is OUT (illness).<\/span> <span class=\"citation-13\">They are starting <\/span><b data-path-to-node=\"16,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"74\"><span class=\"citation-13\">Dustin Wolf<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-13 citation-end-13\">, who has struggled with a 3.01 GAA.<\/span> <span class=\"citation-12\">Key forward <\/span><b data-path-to-node=\"16,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"134\"><span class=\"citation-12\">Samuel Honzek<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-12 citation-end-12\"> is out for the season.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p id=\"p-rc_0f1f7edd70a25c69-23\" data-path-to-node=\"16,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"16,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-11\">Los Angeles:<\/span><\/b> <b data-path-to-node=\"16,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"13\"><span class=\"citation-11\">Adrian Kempe<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-11 citation-end-11\"> is in elite form (36 goals).<\/span> <b data-path-to-node=\"16,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"55\"><span class=\"citation-10\">Anton Forsberg<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-10 citation-end-10\"> (2.58 GAA) is confirmed to start, giving the Kings a massive advantage in the crease.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr data-path-to-node=\"17\" \/>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"18\"><b data-path-to-node=\"18\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">3. Final Pick &amp; Verdict<\/b><\/h3>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"19\"><b data-path-to-node=\"19\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Analysis Comparison<\/b><\/h4>\n<p id=\"p-rc_0f1f7edd70a25c69-24\" data-path-to-node=\"20\">The AI models lean toward a tight 1-goal game, but my independent analysis suggests a wider gap due to Calgary&#8217;s goaltending situation. <span class=\"citation-9 citation-end-9\">With Devin Cooley out and the Kings needing the points for seeding, the motivation gap is wide.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"21\"><b data-path-to-node=\"21\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">The Numbers<\/b><\/h4>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"22\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"22,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"22,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Projected Score:<\/b> Kings 4, Flames 2<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"22,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"22,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Total Points:<\/b> 6 (Likely a &#8220;Push&#8221; or slightly over if an empty-netter occurs)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"22,2,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"22,2,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Value Play:<\/b> The Kings at -161 is a fair price, but the <b data-path-to-node=\"22,2,0\" data-index-in-node=\"55\">Puck Line (Kings -1.5)<\/b> offers better value given Calgary&#8217;s backup goaltending.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 data-path-to-node=\"23,2\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\">Final Pick: Total Points UNDER 6.5 (WIN)<\/span><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>1. AI Model Predictions &amp; Averages Aggregated forecasts from top-tier sports AI models for the final score: AI Model Predicted Score (LAK) Predicted Score (CGY)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":30767,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[125],"tags":[241,466,465,731,742,750,464,730,131],"class_list":["post-33305","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nhl","tag-nhl","tag-nhl-analytical-insights","tag-nhl-game-insights","tag-nhl-games-today-predictions","tag-nhl-hockey","tag-nhl-pediction","tag-nhl-prediction-tips","tag-nhl-predictions-today","tag-nhl-sports-picks-using-ai","two-columns"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/nhl-Calgary-Flames-vs.-Los-Angeles-Kings.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33305","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33305"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33305\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33350,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33305\/revisions\/33350"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30767"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33305"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33305"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33305"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}