Week 17 kicks off with half of the wild-card spots and both No. 1 seeds still up for grabs, and our projections show how each result may shift the NFL playoff picture as the week progresses. Here\u2019s where the full NFL playoff picture stands following Dallas\u2019 27-13 win at Tennessee on Thursday night.<\/p>\n
Listed odds to make the playoffs, secure the No. 1 seed and win the Super Bowl are all via The Athletic<\/em>\u2019s NFL betting model, created by Austin Mock. The projected playoff chances have been adjusted to account for possible Week 18 rest scenarios, Derek Carr\u2019s benching and injuries to quarterbacks Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, Ryan Tannehill and Tua Tagovailoa.<\/p>\n AFC Playoff Picture<\/p>\n y-1<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 12-3<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n at CIN<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n y-2<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 12-3<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n vs. DEN<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n x-3<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 11-4<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n vs. BUF<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 4<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 7-8<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n at HOU<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n x-5<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 10-5<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n vs. PIT<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n x-6<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 9-6<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n vs. LAR<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 7<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 8-7<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n at NE<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div><\/div>\n The Bills play the Bengals on Monday night in the most-anticipated matchup of Week 17. A Buffalo win and a Chiefs loss to the Broncos would clinch the No. 1 seed for the Bills with a week to go, but Kansas City is a 12.5-point home favorite this weekend.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> at Bengals, vs. Patriots<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 100.0 percent | To earn bye: 55.5 percent | To win Super Bowl: 12.5 percent<\/p>\n GO DEEPER<\/p>\n Joe Buck on getting ready for the biggest ‘Monday Night Football’ game in decades<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n The Chiefs face an easy remaining schedule as they chase the Bills for the No. 1 seed. After playing the Broncos, who just fired head coach Nathaniel Hackett, the Chiefs close out the regular season with a Raiders team that has benched quarterback Derek Carr.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. Broncos, at Raiders<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 100.0 percent | To earn bye: 36.5 percent | To win Super Bowl: 13.8 percent<\/p>\n Our model gives the Bengals a 72.7 percent <\/b>chance to win the AFC North. Here\u2019s how they can do so in Week 17:<\/p>\n Cincinnati still has an outside shot at the No. 1 seed, but losing to Buffalo on Monday would extinguish that hope.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. Bills, vs. Ravens<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 100.0 percent | To earn bye: 8.1 percent | To win Super Bowl: 7.1 percent<\/p>\n The winner of Week 18\u2019s Titans-Jaguars game in Jacksonville will win the AFC South. But what if the game ends in a tie? Because the Titans lost Thursday night and Jacksonville won the first head-to-head meeting with Tennessee, the Jaguars can win the division with a tie in Week 18 even if they lose to the Texans this weekend.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> at Texans, vs. Titans<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 79.0 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 3.7 percent<\/p>\n A Ravens win in Week 17 will ensure Baltimore and Cincinnati play for the AFC North title when the two teams meet in their regular season finale.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. Steelers, at Bengals<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 100.0 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 3.6 percent<\/p>\n After clinching their playoff berth in Week 16, the Chargers are playing only for wild-card seeding at this point. They hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Dolphins, and they currently have a better conference record (7-4) than the Ravens (6-4) and every team in wild-card contention that\u2019s yet to clinch.<\/p>\n If the Chargers win one of their final two games, they can finish no worse than the No. 6 seed. If they lose out, they can\u2019t overtake the 10-win Ravens for the No. 5 seed.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. Rams, at Broncos<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 100.0 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 4.6 percent<\/p>\n GO DEEPER<\/p>\n Final Thoughts: 8 notes, stats and quotes from Chargers’ win over Colts<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n The Dolphins will attempt to clinch a playoff berth this weekend without quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who entered concussion protocol earlier this week. Here\u2019s how Miami can secure a spot in the postseason for the first time since 2016:<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> at Patriots, vs. Jets<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 68.4 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 2.7 percent<\/p>\n Losing to the Dolphins this week would eliminate New England from playoff contention. Winning out \u2014 which would be easier if Buffalo rests starters in its regular season finale \u2014 would ensure New England makes the postseason.<\/p>\n The Patriots can also make the playoffs by beating the Dolphins and losing to the Bills, but that would require help, including the Jets winning at Miami in Week 18.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. Dolphins, at Bills<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 9.6 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 0.3 percent<\/p>\n The Jets\u2019 path to the playoffs is pretty simple: They need to win out and see the Patriots lose one more game. Getting quarterback Mike White back should make that more doable.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> at Seattle, at Miami<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 18.9 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 1.2 percent<\/p>\n GO DEEPER<\/p>\n How the Jets make the playoffs over Dolphins, Patriots and other contenders<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n After losing to the Cowboys on Thursday night, the Titans must beat the Jaguars in Week 18 to make the postseason.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> at Jaguars<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 22.2 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 0.7 percent<\/p>\n In addition to Pittsburgh winning out, the Steelers\u2019 narrow path to the postseason requires the Dolphins to lose out, the Jets to lose to the Seahawks in Week 17 and the Patriots to lose or tie in Buffalo in Week 18.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> at Ravens, vs. Browns<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 1.9 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 0.0 percent<\/p>\n GO DEEPER<\/p>\n So you’re telling me there’s a chance? Mapping the Steelers’ narrow road to the playoffs<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n Though technically still in contention for a playoff spot, the Raiders signaled they\u2019re giving up on this season when they benched Derek Carr. They\u2019ll start Jarrett Stidham against the 49ers this weekend.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. 49ers, vs. Chiefs<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 0.0 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 0.0 percent<\/p>\n GO DEEPER<\/p>\n Tafur: In Derek Carr’s ultimate prove-it year, Raiders QB fell short in Mark Davis’ eyes<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n NFC Playoff Picture<\/p>\n SEED<\/p>\n \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/th>\n TEAM<\/p>\n \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/th>\n RECORD<\/p>\n \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/th>\n WEEK 17 RESULT<\/p>\n \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n x-1<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 13-2<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n vs. NO<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n y-2<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 12-3<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n W vs. NYG<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n y-3<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 11-4<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n W vs. WAS<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 4<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 7-8<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n vs. CAR<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n x-5<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 12-4<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n W at TEN<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 6<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 8-6-1<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n vs. IND<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 7<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 7-7-1<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n vs. CLE<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div><\/div>\n A win against the Saints this weekend would clinch the NFC East and the No. 1 seed for the Eagles. Philadelphia would also clinch the division title with a tie against New Orleans, but in that situation, the Eagles could only secure the No. 1 seed this weekend if the Vikings lose or tie at Green Bay.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. Saints, vs. Giants<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 100.0 percent | To earn bye: 91.9 percent | To win Super Bowl: 15.0 percent<\/p>\n The Vikings\u2019 narrow path to the No. 1 seed requires them to win out while the Eagles lose out. Our model considers that very unlikely. But can the Vikings hold off the 49ers for the No. 2 seed?<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> at Packers, at Bears<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 100.0 percent | To earn bye: 2.9 percent | To win Super Bowl: 8.6 percent<\/p>\n San Francisco securing the No. 1 seed requires the 49ers to win out, the Eagles to lose out and the Vikings to drop one of their final two games. That\u2019s unlikely, but the 49ers have one of the league\u2019s easiest remaining schedules. After playing the Jarrett Stidham-led Raiders this week, they\u2019ll face the Cardinals in what might be Kliff Kingsbury\u2019s last game as Arizona\u2019s head coach.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> at Raiders, vs. Cardinals<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 100.0 percent | To earn bye: 3.6 percent | To win Super Bowl: 8.2 percent<\/p>\n The Bucs can clinch the NFC South with a win against the Panthers this weekend. If the Bucs lose, they\u2019ll cede the head-to-head tiebreaker to Carolina, dropping Tampa\u2019s playoff odds to a bit under 50 percent.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. Panthers, at Falcons<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 80.8 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 3.0 percent<\/p>\n Beating the Titans on Thursday keeps alive the Cowboys\u2019 slim chances at winning the NFC East and securing the conference\u2019s No. 1 seed \u2014 at least until the Eagles play the Saints.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> at Commanders<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 100.0 percent | To earn bye: 1.6 percent | To win Super Bowl: 5.9 percent<\/p>\n The Giants will clinch a spot in the postseason and lock up the No. 6 seed with a win in either of their two remaining games, and they might face an Eagles team resting starters in Week 18.<\/p>\n Even without winning this week, the Giants can get into the playoffs with various combinations of losses and ties by the Commanders, Seahawks, Lions and Packers.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. Colts, at Eagles<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 86.9 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 3.4 percent<\/p>\n GO DEEPER<\/p>\n Giants can clinch first playoff spot since 2016 with Week 17 win over Colts<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n Washington, which is returning to Carson Wentz quarterback, can clinch a playoff spot this weekend with a win against Cleveland and losses by the Seahawks and Lions and a loss or tie by the Packers.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. Browns, vs. Cowboys<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 29.2 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 1.1 percent<\/p>\n Multiple paths to the playoffs still exist for Seattle. The Seahawks don\u2019t even need to win out, though that would certainly help. Losing to the Jets this week would drop the Seahawks\u2019 playoff odds to 7.7 percent, according to our model.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. Jets, vs. Rams<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 22.6 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 1.1 percent<\/p>\n GO DEEPER<\/p>\n Needing help to reach playoffs, Seahawks also need their offensive line to get rolling<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n Detroit holds head-to-head tiebreakers over both the Giants and Commanders, but the Lions\u2019 Week 4 loss to the Seahawks looms large. If Detroit loses to Green Bay in Week 18, evening the head-to-head series, the next tiebreaker would be division record: The Lions are currently 3-1 against the division, while the Packers 2-2.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. Bears, at Packers<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 32.9 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 1.1 percent<\/p>\n GO DEEPER<\/p>\n NFL playoff scenarios for Week 17: How could the picture shift with every result?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n Green Bay\u2019s simplest path to the playoffs is to win out while the Commanders lose one game. The Packers would still have 2.9 percent chance of making the postseason even if they lost to the Vikings this week, but they cannot make the playoffs without beating the Lions in Week 18.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> vs. Vikings, vs. Lions<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 27.7 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 1.1 percent<\/p>\n After beating the Bucs earlier this season, the Panthers are in control of their fate. Win out, and they\u2019re NFC South champions.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> at Tampa Bay, at New Orleans<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 17.8 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 0.6 percent<\/p>\n The Saints will be NFC South champions if they win out and the Bucs drop both of their remaining games. Of course, that\u2019s easier said than done when the Saints\u2019 next game is a trip to Philadelphia.<\/p>\n Remaining schedule:<\/strong> at Philadelphia, vs. Carolina<\/p>\n Odds:<\/strong> To make playoffs: 2.1 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 0.1 percent<\/p>\n (Photo: Stephen Maturen \/ Getty Images)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
\n SEED<\/span><\/th>\n TEAM<\/span><\/th>\n RECORD<\/span><\/th>\n WEEK 17 RESULT<\/span><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n x \u2014 Clinched playoff berth | y \u2014 Clinched division title<\/h5>\n
Buffalo Bills<\/h3>\n
![\"go-deeper\"\/](\"https:\/\/cdn.theathletic.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=128,height=128,fit=cover,format=auto\/app\/uploads\/2022\/12\/29070317\/GettyImages-1450538239-1024x683.jpg\")
<\/div>\nKansas City Chiefs<\/h3>\n
Cincinnati Bengals<\/h3>\n
\n
Jacksonville Jaguars<\/h3>\n
Baltimore Ravens<\/h3>\n
Los Angeles Chargers<\/h3>\n
![\"go-deeper\"\/](\"https:\/\/cdn.theathletic.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=128,height=128,fit=cover,format=auto\/app\/uploads\/2022\/12\/28174452\/GettyImages-1452619036-1024x683.jpg\")
<\/div>\nMiami Dolphins<\/h3>\n
\n
In the hunt<\/h2>\n
New England Patriots<\/h3>\n
New York Jets<\/h3>\n
![\"go-deeper\"\/](\"https:\/\/cdn.theathletic.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=128,height=128,fit=cover,format=auto\/app\/uploads\/2022\/12\/27143258\/GettyImages-1443053839-scaled-e1672169596269-1024x683.jpg\")
<\/div>\nTennessee Titans<\/h3>\n
Pittsburgh Steelers<\/h3>\n
![\"go-deeper\"\/](\"https:\/\/cdn.theathletic.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=128,height=128,fit=cover,format=auto\/app\/uploads\/2022\/12\/26150510\/USATSI_19679244-1024x683.jpg\")
<\/div>\nLas Vegas Raiders<\/h3>\n
![\"go-deeper\"\/](\"https:\/\/cdn.theathletic.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=128,height=128,fit=cover,format=auto\/app\/uploads\/2022\/09\/18233212\/GettyImages-1425041288-scaled-e1672272345209-1024x683.jpg\")
<\/div>\nEliminated<\/h2>\n
\n
\n\n
\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n x \u2014 Clinched playoff berth | y \u2014 Clinched division title<\/h5>\n
Philadelphia Eagles<\/h3>\n
Minnesota Vikings<\/h3>\n
San Francisco 49ers<\/h3>\n
Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/h3>\n
Dallas Cowboys<\/h3>\n
New York Giants<\/h3>\n
![\"go-deeper\"\/](\"https:\/\/cdn.theathletic.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=128,height=128,fit=cover,format=auto\/app\/uploads\/2022\/12\/28222845\/GettyImages-1453003416-scaled-e1672284552521-1024x683.jpg\")
<\/div>\nWashington Commanders<\/h3>\n
In the hunt<\/h2>\n
Seattle Seahawks<\/h3>\n
![\"go-deeper\"\/](\"https:\/\/cdn.theathletic.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=128,height=128,fit=cover,format=auto\/app\/uploads\/2022\/12\/28212736\/GettyImages-1452230352-1024x683.jpg\")
<\/div>\nDetroit Lions<\/h3>\n
![\"go-deeper\"\/](\"https:\/\/cdn.theathletic.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/width=128,height=128,fit=cover,format=auto\/app\/uploads\/2022\/12\/28014254\/GettyImages-1446757778-1-scaled-e1672209832494-1024x683.jpg\")
<\/div>\nGreen Bay Packers<\/h3>\n
Carolina Panthers<\/h3>\n
New Orleans Saints<\/h3>\n