{"id":20164,"date":"2024-10-05T10:47:09","date_gmt":"2024-10-05T10:47:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/?p=20164"},"modified":"2024-10-10T13:03:41","modified_gmt":"2024-10-10T13:03:41","slug":"homecoming-hopes-tulsa-seeks-upset-against-armys-dominance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/homecoming-hopes-tulsa-seeks-upset-against-armys-dominance\/","title":{"rendered":"Homecoming Hopes: Tulsa Seeks Upset Against Army&#8217;s Dominance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Army West Point Black Knights (4-0) are set to face off against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-3) in an intriguing American Athletic Conference matchup on Saturday, October 5, 2024, at H.A. Chapman Stadium in Tulsa, Oklahoma. This game pits the Army&#8217;s undefeated record and potent triple-option offense against a Tulsa team looking to bounce back from recent struggles.<\/p>\n<p>The matchup presents an interesting contrast in styles, with Army&#8217;s methodical, clock-controlling offense going up against Tulsa&#8217;s more balanced attack. While the Black Knights have been stingy on defense, allowing just 10.5 points per game, Tulsa&#8217;s defense has struggled, giving up 34.6 points per contest.<\/p>\n<p>As the Army enters as a 13-point favorite, they&#8217;ll look to continue their perfect start to the season, while Tulsa hopes to defend their home turf and pull off an upset.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-20165 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Army-West-Point-Black-Knights-vs.-Tulsa-Golden-Hurricane-300x156.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"517\" height=\"269\" srcset=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Army-West-Point-Black-Knights-vs.-Tulsa-Golden-Hurricane-300x156.jpg 300w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Army-West-Point-Black-Knights-vs.-Tulsa-Golden-Hurricane-600x312.jpg 600w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Army-West-Point-Black-Knights-vs.-Tulsa-Golden-Hurricane-1024x532.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Army-West-Point-Black-Knights-vs.-Tulsa-Golden-Hurricane-768x399.jpg 768w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Army-West-Point-Black-Knights-vs.-Tulsa-Golden-Hurricane-1170x607.jpg 1170w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Army-West-Point-Black-Knights-vs.-Tulsa-Golden-Hurricane.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 517px) 100vw, 517px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"mb-2 mt-6 text-lg first:mt-3\">Model Predictions<\/h2>\n<p><strong>BetQL Model:<\/strong>\u00a0Army 28, Tulsa 17<br \/>\n<strong>ESPN FPI:<\/strong>\u00a0Army 65.2% win probability<br \/>\n<strong>SportsLine Model:<\/strong>\u00a0Army 31, Tulsa 20<br \/>\n<strong>Action Network PRO Model:<\/strong>\u00a0Army 29, Tulsa 18<\/p>\n<p><strong>Averaging these models yields a prediction of:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Army 29.5<\/li>\n<li>Tulsa 18.3<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Using the Pythagorean theorem and strength of schedule:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Army&#8217;s Pythagorean win expectation: 0.735<br \/>\nTulsa&#8217;s Pythagorean win expectation: 0.412<\/p>\n<p><strong>Strength of Schedule adjustment:<br \/>\n<\/strong><br \/>\nArmy: +1.5 points<br \/>\nTulsa: -0.5 points<\/p>\n<p><b>Considering all these factors:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Army 30<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Tulsa 19<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 class=\"mb-2 mt-6 text-lg first:mt-3\">Key Factors<\/h2>\n<ol class=\"marker:text-textOff list-decimal pl-8\">\n<li>Army&#8217;s triple-option offense has been highly effective, averaging 34.5 points per game.<\/li>\n<li>Tulsa&#8217;s defense has struggled, allowing 30.8 points per game.<\/li>\n<li>Army&#8217;s strong run game matches up well against Tulsa&#8217;s weak run defense.<\/li>\n<li>Injuries to key Army players (Anderson Britton, Tyrell Robinson, Zach Mundell) could impact their offensive production.<\/li>\n<li>Army&#8217;s undefeated record (4-0) vs Tulsa&#8217;s losing record (2-3) suggests a significant talent gap.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p class=\"mb-2 mt-6 text-lg first:mt-3\"><strong>Pick: Take the Tulsa Golden Hurricane +13 points. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">***LOSE***<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Army West Point Black Knights (4-0) are set to face off against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-3) in an intriguing American Athletic Conference matchup<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":20165,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[33],"tags":[517,383,228,1396,1830,1950,343,60,144,258,626,1951],"class_list":["post-20164","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-ai-analysis","tag-ai-betting-prediction","tag-ai-college-football-predictions","tag-ai-for-sports-prediction","tag-army-west-point-black-knights","tag-army-west-point-black-knights-vs-tulsa-golden-hurricane","tag-college-football-analysis","tag-college-football-picks","tag-football","tag-ncaa","tag-ncaa-analysis","tag-tulsa-golden-hurricane","two-columns"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Army-West-Point-Black-Knights-vs.-Tulsa-Golden-Hurricane.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20164","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20164"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20164\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20305,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20164\/revisions\/20305"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20165"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20164"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20164"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20164"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}