{"id":19706,"date":"2024-09-21T09:33:54","date_gmt":"2024-09-21T09:33:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/?p=19706"},"modified":"2026-05-20T15:11:28","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T15:11:28","slug":"shannons-weekend-sixer-nfl-and-college-picks-that-bring-the-heat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/shannons-weekend-sixer-nfl-and-college-picks-that-bring-the-heat\/","title":{"rendered":"Shannons Weekend Sixer: NFL and College Picks That Bring the Heat"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alright, let\u2019s get hyped for NFL Week 3 and NCAAF Week 4! This is the weekend 6 pack.\u00a0 Each Friday afternoon\/evening I will be posting 3 NCAA plays and 3 NFL plays through the regular season. We\u2019re talking big plays, bold predictions, and some bets that could hit harder than a linebacker on a red dog blitz. So, grab your drink, sit back, and let\u2019s break down these games with stats, trends, our trusty AI prediction\/simulation tool from ATSwins of course, and maybe a little football magic from the gambling gods.<\/span><\/p>\n

1. LSU\/UCLA Under 56.5<\/b><\/h3>\n

Breakdown:<\/b>
\n<\/b>LSU vs. UCLA in Week 4? You better believe I\u2019m taking the under on 56.5 points, like you hit snooze on a Monday. LSU\u2019s defense, led by Brian Kelly, has been locked down tighter than airport security.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

UCLA\u2019s offense, under Chip Kelly, was once known for high-flying antics, but it\u2019s looking more like a Fourth of July sparkler these days. With Dorian Thompson-Robinson now in the NFL, UCLA is relying on inexperienced QB Ethan Garbers. He hasn\u2019t faced a defense like LSU yet. Between LSU\u2019s stingy defense and the growing pains of UCLA\u2019s new QB, I don\u2019t see this game turning into a shootout. Points will be at a premium, and the under is a smart call.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2. Mississippi State +6<\/b><\/h3>\n

Breakdown:<\/b>
\n<\/b>Mississippi State is walking into a classic SEC showdown, and even under new head coach Zach Arnett, these Bulldogs are all about that grit. On defense, Mississippi State is about as tough as a hangover after dollar beer night. They ranked third in the SEC in rush defense last year. Florida\u2019s flashy, sure, but they are running a 2 quarterback offense and neither one is what I would consider to be a true quality SEC type quarterback. Consistency isn\u2019t their strong suit\u2014they\u2019ve dropped two games to better teams. Their passing attack still has more question marks than answers. Mississippi State at +6 home dog is a value play, especially in what should be a close game. The Bulldogs should bounce back after being hammered by Toledo last week.\u00a0 Look for them to keep this one close into the 4th quarter.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

3. Toledo -2.5<\/b><\/h3>\n

Breakdown:<\/b>
\n<\/b>The Toledo Rockets are -2.5 favorites, and they\u2019re ready to light it up like Elon Musk launching another rocket (pun intended). Tucker Gleason is leading an explosive offense that averaged 31 points per game last season. Toledo\u2019s offense moves the ball quickly, with no hesitation, and this Western Kentucky defense isn\u2019t built to handle it. Western Kentucky? They\u2019ve given up nearly 170 rushing yards per game so far this season. That D has more holes than a slice of Swiss cheese. Expect Toledo to control the game on the ground and wear out that defense, which has been as sturdy as your gym shorts after leg day. Toledo covers this -2.5 with ease.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

4. Chargers Moneyline<\/b><\/h3>\n

Breakdown:<\/b>
\n<\/b>Chargers vs. Steelers in Week 3? This one\u2019s all about the Bolts, baby. Justin Herbert has been slinging it like there\u2019s no tomorrow, averaging over 300 passing yards per game so far this season. The man is surgical with the football, and when he\u2019s not on the field, you feel it. Plus, Joey Bosa had a hip issue but he is good to go for Sunday.\u00a0 He is leading a defense that has been getting better each week\u2014they\u2019re starting to look like they actually want to hit and tackle people.<\/span><\/p>\n

On the Steelers\u2019 side? They\u2019ve been struggling to find consistent QB play with Justin Fields. Pittsburgh\u2019s offense is averaging a mediocre 16 points per game, so don\u2019t expect them to keep up with LA\u2019s firepower. Chargers on the moneyline all day long (if QB Herbert plays. Otherwise, this is a no play).<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

5. Buccaneers -6.5<\/b><\/h3>\n

Breakdown:<\/b>
\n<\/b>Tampa Bay\u2019s rolling into Week 3 with an undefeated record, and they\u2019re looking smooth doing it. Baker Mayfield is out here managing the game like a seasoned NFL vet\u2014no stupid mistakes or reckless throws, just smart football. Mike Evans has been torching defenses, already racking up 237 receiving yards and 2 TDs. Tampa\u2019s offense may not be as flashy as some, but it\u2019s effective they get the job done..<\/span><\/p>\n

As for the Broncos? They\u2019re a mess. Winless, and rookie QB Bo Nix still looks like a deer in headlights. Denver\u2019s offense is flat-out struggling to move the chains, and their defense? They\u2019re allowing 25 points per game. It\u2019s hard to see them keeping up with a Tampa Bay team that\u2019s firing on all cylinders. Bucs -6.5 lock it in.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

6. Lions -2.5<\/b><\/h3>\n

Breakdown:<\/b>
\n<\/b>The Detroit Lions are sneakily becoming one of the most balanced teams in the NFL. They were so close to the super bowl last year they could smell it. Jared Goff has been solid, and David Montgomery is grinding out tough yards like it\u2019s his day job\u2014averaging 4.0 yards per carry. This team controls the game like a kid with a new PlayStation. On defense, they\u2019ve been surprisingly effective at limiting big plays and getting pressure up front. After a poor showing at home last week against the Bucs look for Coach Campbell to have the boys ready to bounce back week 3.<\/span><\/p>\n

The Arizona Cardinals, though? Theyre going to be forced to throw more as they face the fourth best ground defense. The Lions covering -2.5 feels like the easiest bet on the board this week. Sometimes you just shouldn\u2019t overthink it.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

BONUS PLAY: Bijan Robinson Over 72.5 Rushing Yards<\/b><\/h3>\n

Breakdown:<\/b>
\n<\/b>You thought we were done?\u00a0 No way here comes a player prop bonus play for you. Falcons rookie RB Bijan Robinson has quickly become a star. The guy is averaging over 80 rushing yards per game with a breakout performance just waiting to happen. He\u2019s got the perfect balance of power and finesse, making defenders miss like it\u2019s a bad game of tag.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kansas City\u2019s run defense is about as intimidating as a wet paper towel\u2014they\u2019ve been gashed for 145 rushing yards per game average so far. With the Chiefs focused on getting pressure on multi-million dollar QB and Netflx star, Kirk Cousins, Bijan\u2019s going to have plenty of opportunities and room to break off some chunk play runs. The play here is over 72.5 rushing yards. It almost feels like stealing.<\/span><\/p>\n

Conclusion:<\/b><\/h3>\n

There you have it, sports fans\u2014these picks are rooted in stats, recent player form, trends, and AI model prediction tools that point to serious value. Whether you\u2019re rolling with underdogs like Mississippi State or banking on stars like Bijan Robinson, this weekend\u2019s matchups are primed for action. So, crack a cold one (or 6), buckle up, and let\u2019s watch those tickets cash this weekend.\u00a0 Stay tuned for next Friday\u2019s addition.\u00a0 Until then I wish you all good luck!.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alright, let\u2019s get hyped for NFL Week 3 and NCAAF Week 4! This is the weekend 6 pack.\u00a0 Each Friday afternoon\/evening I will be posting<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":196,"featured_media":19707,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[33,2,5,1],"tags":[1076,1727,1728,55,1722,1724,564,1725,1726,1753,1721,1723],"class_list":["post-19706","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","category-news","category-example-3","category-uncategorized","tag-ai-picks-ncaaf","tag-bijan-robinson-rushing-yards-prop-bet","tag-chargers-moneyline-pick","tag-college-football-ai-picks","tag-college-football-week-4-analysis","tag-football-game-breakdowns","tag-football-game-predictions","tag-ncaa-week-4-betting-picks","tag-nfl-and-college-football-betting-trends","tag-nfl-prediction-from-ai","tag-nfl-week-3-predictions","tag-underdog-betting-picks","two-columns"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/e0eafc61-106d-4f18-8470-e6e5725d1536.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19706","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/196"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19706"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19706\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19752,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19706\/revisions\/19752"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19707"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19706"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19706"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19706"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}