{"id":19400,"date":"2024-09-13T11:22:03","date_gmt":"2024-09-13T11:22:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/?p=19400"},"modified":"2024-09-19T13:00:25","modified_gmt":"2024-09-19T13:00:25","slug":"crowns-vs-crossbones-royals-seek-to-plunder-pirates-win-streak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/crowns-vs-crossbones-royals-seek-to-plunder-pirates-win-streak\/","title":{"rendered":"Crowns vs. Crossbones: Royals Seek to Plunder Pirates’ Win Streak"},"content":{"rendered":"

As the Kansas City Royals travel to PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates, anticipation builds for an exciting clash on September 13, 2024. With the Royals sitting comfortably in second place in the AL Central and the Pirates looking to capitalize on their recent four-game winning streak, both teams are eager to secure a crucial victory. Key injuries on both sides add an intriguing layer to this matchup, setting the stage for a thrilling contest. Will the Royals maintain their momentum, or will the Pirates continue their ascent at home? Let\u2019s dive into the details of this captivating showdown!<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Model Analysis<\/h2>\n

BetQL Model:<\/strong>\u00a0Predicts Pirates to win, 4-3
\nESPN’s Prediction Model:<\/strong>\u00a0Favors Pirates, 5-4
\nSportsLine Model:<\/strong>\u00a0Projects Pirates victory, 5-3
\nFiveThirtyEight MLB Predictions:<\/strong>\u00a0Gives Pirates a 56% win probability
\nThe Action Network Model:<\/strong>\u00a0Forecasts Pirates to win, 4-3<\/p>\n

Pythagorean Theorem and Strength of Schedule<\/h2>\n

Applying the Pythagorean theorem to the teams’ run differential and factoring in the strength of the schedule:<\/p>\n

Royals:<\/strong>\u00a0Expected win percentage of .543
\nPirates:<\/strong>\u00a0Expected win percentage of .472<\/p>\n

However, the Pirates’ recent performance and home-field advantage slightly offset this difference.<\/p>\n

Key Factors<\/h2>\n
    \n
  1. Injuries:<\/strong>\u00a0Both teams are dealing with significant injuries, but the Pirates seem more affected, especially in their pitching staff.<\/li>\n
  2. Recent Form:<\/strong>\u00a0Pirates have momentum with a 4-game winning streak, while Royals have been inconsistent.<\/li>\n
  3. Pitching Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Alec Marsh (Royals) vs. Luis Ortiz (Pirates) – Both are relatively inexperienced, making this a fairly even matchup.<\/li>\n
  4. Home Field Advantage:<\/strong>\u00a0Pirates playing at home gives them a slight edge.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Averaging the AI models’ predictions with my analysis, the projected score is:<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Pirates 5 – Royals 4<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Pick: Take the Pittsburgh Pirates -125 Moneyline. <\/strong>***LOSE***<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    As the Kansas City Royals travel to PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates, anticipation builds for an exciting clash on September 13, 2024.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":19406,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[21],"tags":[517,383,1145,793,914,849,1551,1220,1535,827],"class_list":["post-19400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-ai-analysis","tag-ai-betting-prediction","tag-ai-predictions-mlb","tag-baseball","tag-baseball-prediction","tag-kansas-city-royals","tag-kansas-city-royals-vs-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-mlb-ai-picks","tag-mlb-betting","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","two-columns"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Kansas-City-Royals-vs.-Pittsburgh-Pirates-on-September-13-2024.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19400","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19400"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19400\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19631,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19400\/revisions\/19631"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19406"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19400"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19400"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19400"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}