{"id":17297,"date":"2024-07-20T14:58:02","date_gmt":"2024-07-20T14:58:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/?p=17297"},"modified":"2024-07-20T14:58:02","modified_gmt":"2024-07-20T14:58:02","slug":"red-hot-pirates-host-first-place-phillies-in-potential-upset-bid","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/red-hot-pirates-host-first-place-phillies-in-potential-upset-bid\/","title":{"rendered":"Red-Hot Pirates Host First-Place Phillies in Potential Upset Bid"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-sourcepos=\"7:1-7:47\">Get ready to score big with ATSwins! Enter our \u201cCountdown to Kickoff Giveaway\u201d for a chance to win $1000. Don\u2019t miss out on this incredible opportunity\u2014join now:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/kickoff-giveaway\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/ATSwins.ai\/blog\/kickoff-giveaway<\/a><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"7:1-7:47\">First-place Phils head to Pittsburgh for a clash with the surging Pirates. The Phillies boast a powerful offense, but question marks surround their pitching with key starters battling injuries. Can Philadelphia overcome those uncertainties or will the red-hot Pirates, winners of five straight, pull off an upset at home?<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"7:1-7:47\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-17310 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Philadelphia-Phillies-vs.-Pittsburgh-Pirates-on-July-20-2024-1-300x169.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"451\" height=\"254\" srcset=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Philadelphia-Phillies-vs.-Pittsburgh-Pirates-on-July-20-2024-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Philadelphia-Phillies-vs.-Pittsburgh-Pirates-on-July-20-2024-1-600x337.jpg 600w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Philadelphia-Phillies-vs.-Pittsburgh-Pirates-on-July-20-2024-1-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Philadelphia-Phillies-vs.-Pittsburgh-Pirates-on-July-20-2024-1.jpg 836w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 451px) 100vw, 451px\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"7:1-7:47\">The Phillies, despite their stellar record, are surprisingly the underdogs on the road. Injuries and the Pirates&#8217; hot streak might be influencing the AI picks:<\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"9:1-9:29\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"9:1-9:29\"><strong>BetQL:<\/strong> Pirates (+120) &#8211; No adjustment needed.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"10:1-10:65\"><strong>ESPN:<\/strong> Pirates (54% win probability) &#8211; No adjustment needed.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"11:1-11:46\"><strong>SportsLine:<\/strong> Pirates (+1) &#8211; No adjustment needed.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"12:1-12:64\"><strong>Dimers Bettorverse:<\/strong> Pirates (+130) &#8211; No adjustment needed.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"13:1-14:0\"><strong>NumberFire (high win %):<\/strong> Phillies (52% win probability) &#8211; Adjusted slightly up to <strong>Phillies 55%<\/strong> due to their overall strong performance.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"15:1-15:69\"><strong>Average Adjusted Pick:<\/strong> Pirates (+122) with a 53% win probability.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"\" data-sourcepos=\"21:1-21:51\">Injury Report and Recent Trends:<\/h2>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"23:1-25:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"23:1-23:155\"><strong>Phillies:<\/strong> Ranger Suarez and Zack Wheeler are questionable, which could be a significant blow to their pitching. Their recent record is inconsistent.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"24:1-25:0\"><strong>Pirates:<\/strong> Luis Ortiz, their starting pitcher, is just returning from injury. However, their recent five-game winning streak shows momentum.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 class=\"\" data-sourcepos=\"26:1-26:20\">Matchup Analysis:<\/h2>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"28:1-30:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"28:1-28:122\"><strong>Phillies:<\/strong> Their offense remains potent, but pitching could be a question mark with key starters potentially missing.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"29:1-30:0\"><strong>Pirates:<\/strong> Luis Ortiz&#8217;s health is a concern, but their offense is clicking and they&#8217;re riding a hot streak.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 class=\"\" data-sourcepos=\"31:1-31:60\">Considering All Factors:<\/h2>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"33:1-35:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"33:1-33:75\">The Phillies&#8217; offense is a force, but their pitching could be vulnerable.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"34:1-35:0\">The Pirates are playing with confidence and have a favorable home crowd.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"36:1-36:75\"><strong>Philadelphia Phillies 4 &#8211; Pittsburgh Pirates 5<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"38:1-38:14\"><strong>Reasoning:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"40:1-43:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"40:1-40:88\">The Pirates&#8217; hot streak might continue at home, especially if Luis Ortiz pitches well.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"41:1-41:77\">The Phillies&#8217; offense could put up runs, but their pitching might struggle.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"42:1-43:0\">The total score (Over\/Under 8.5) is a close call. We lean slightly towards <strong>Over<\/strong> due to both offenses being hot.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 class=\"\" data-sourcepos=\"44:1-44:48\">Pirates Ride Momentum to Upset<\/h2>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"46:1-46:314\">The AI models favor the Pirates (average: Pirates +122, 53% win probability), and our analysis leans towards them as well. The Phillies&#8217; pitching uncertainty combined with the Pirates&#8217; hot streak makes the upset a strong possibility. The total score is a close call, with both offenses potentially putting up runs.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"46:1-46:314\"><strong>Pick: The Pittsburgh Pirates +140 Moneyline.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"46:1-46:314\">\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Get ready to score big with ATSwins! Enter our \u201cCountdown to Kickoff Giveaway\u201d for a chance to win $1000. Don\u2019t miss out on this incredible<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17310,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[21],"tags":[978,383,793,934,914,952,838,853,1049,827],"class_list":["post-17297","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-ai-baseball-analysis","tag-ai-betting-prediction","tag-baseball","tag-baseball-pick","tag-baseball-prediction","tag-mlb-analysis","tag-mlb-game-prediction","tag-philadelphia-phillies","tag-philadelphia-phillies-vs-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","two-columns"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Philadelphia-Phillies-vs.-Pittsburgh-Pirates-on-July-20-2024-1.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17297","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17297"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17297\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17312,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17297\/revisions\/17312"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17310"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17297"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17297"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17297"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}