{"id":15496,"date":"2024-03-28T14:18:39","date_gmt":"2024-03-28T14:18:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/?p=15496"},"modified":"2024-04-08T13:43:17","modified_gmt":"2024-04-08T13:43:17","slug":"chipping-away-at-the-senators-lead-can-chicago-upset-in-ottawa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/chipping-away-at-the-senators-lead-can-chicago-upset-in-ottawa\/","title":{"rendered":"Chipping Away at the Senators&#8217; Lead: Can Chicago Upset in Ottawa?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-sourcepos=\"3:1-3:339\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-15502 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Chicago-Blackhawks-vs.-Ottawa-Senators-300x169.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"481\" height=\"271\" srcset=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Chicago-Blackhawks-vs.-Ottawa-Senators-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Chicago-Blackhawks-vs.-Ottawa-Senators-600x338.jpg 600w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Chicago-Blackhawks-vs.-Ottawa-Senators-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Chicago-Blackhawks-vs.-Ottawa-Senators-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Chicago-Blackhawks-vs.-Ottawa-Senators.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 481px) 100vw, 481px\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"3:1-3:339\">The NHL season winds down with a matchup between the rebuilding Chicago Blackhawks and the playoff-hopeful Ottawa Senators. The Senators are heavily favored at home, but the Blackhawks might be looking to play spoiler. Let&#8217;s leverage AI models, analyze team trends, and consider injuries to make the most informed prediction for this game.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"5:1-5:23\"><strong>AI Model Consensus:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"7:1-12:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"7:1-7:39\"><strong>BetQL:<\/strong>\u00a0Ottawa Senators -2.5 goals<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"8:1-8:38\"><strong>ESPN:<\/strong>\u00a0Ottawa Senators -2.5 goals<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"9:1-9:44\"><strong>SportsLine:<\/strong>\u00a0Ottawa Senators -2.5 goals<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"10:1-10:85\"><strong>The Hockey News:<\/strong>\u00a0Ottawa Senators heavy favorite (predicted score not available)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"11:1-12:0\"><strong>MoneyPuck.com:<\/strong>\u00a0Ottawa Senators 71.2% win probability (predicted score: Ottawa Senators 4.24 &#8211; Chicago Blackhawks 2.13)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"13:1-13:126\">The AI models overwhelmingly favor Ottawa, with an average point spread of -2.5 goals aligning with the moneyline odds (-195).<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"15:1-15:36\"><strong>Pythagorean Theorem Perspective:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"17:1-17:77\">Expected wins\/losses based on points scored and allowed provide some context:<\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"19:1-21:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"19:1-19:70\">Chicago Blackhawks: 18.4 wins, 59.6 losses (based on current record)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"20:1-21:0\">Ottawa Senators: 27.2 wins, 49.8 losses (based on current record)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"22:1-22:107\">While Ottawa&#8217;s record is better, the Pythagorean projection suggests a closer matchup than the odds imply.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"24:1-24:18\"><strong>Injury Report:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"26:1-28:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"26:1-26:168\"><strong>Chicago Blackhawks:<\/strong>\u00a0Colin Blackwell (upper body) is questionable, but his absence shouldn&#8217;t significantly impact their offense. Reese Johnson (concussion) is out.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"27:1-28:0\"><strong>Ottawa Senators:<\/strong>\u00a0Thomas Chabot (lower body) is questionable. His absence would be a blow to their defense.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"29:1-29:16\"><strong>Trend Watch:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"31:1-31:35\">Recent form is a tale of two teams:<\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"33:1-35:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"33:1-33:115\">Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"36:1-36:25\"><strong>Home Court Advantage:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"38:1-38:59\">The Senators hold a strong 19-16-2 home record this season.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"44:1-44:15\"><strong>Prediction:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"46:1-46:48\">Considering all factors, our projected score is:<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"48:1-48:44\"><strong>Ottawa Senators 4 &#8211; Chicago Blackhawks 2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"50:1-50:14\"><strong>Reasoning:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"52:1-56:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"52:1-52:65\">The Senators&#8217; overall talent and home ice advantage favor them.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"53:1-53:79\">The Blackhawks&#8217; struggles and injuries make it difficult for them to compete.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"54:1-54:100\">The point spread (-2.5 goals) seems accurate, potentially widening if Ottawa gets hot offensively.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"57:1-57:31\"><strong>Caveats and Considerations:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"59:1-61:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"59:1-59:114\">If Thomas Chabot is out for Ottawa, it could weaken their defense and open up scoring opportunities for Chicago.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"60:1-61:0\">The Blackhawks might be motivated to play spoiler and end the season on a positive note.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"62:1-62:23\"><strong>Beyond the Numbers:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"64:1-64:287\">While AI models and analytics offer valuable insights, intangibles like the Blackhawks&#8217; desire to avoid another loss and the Senators&#8217; potential overlooking of a lesser opponent can influence the outcome. However, the Senators&#8217; overall talent and home ice edge make them heavy favorites.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"64:1-64:287\"><strong>Pick: Take Ottawa Senators -195 Moneyline. <span style=\"color: #00ff00;\">***WINNER***<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The NHL season winds down with a matchup between the rebuilding Chicago Blackhawks and the playoff-hopeful Ottawa Senators. The Senators are heavily favored at home,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":15502,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[125],"tags":[728,727,725,731,729,730,726],"class_list":["post-15496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nhl","tag-betting-nhl","tag-chicago-blackhawks","tag-chicago-blackhawks-vs-ottawa-senators","tag-nhl-games-today-predictions","tag-nhl-predictions","tag-nhl-predictions-today","tag-ottawa-senators","two-columns"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Chicago-Blackhawks-vs.-Ottawa-Senators.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15496","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15496"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15496\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15594,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15496\/revisions\/15594"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15502"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15496"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15496"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}