{"id":14996,"date":"2024-02-19T13:43:34","date_gmt":"2024-02-19T13:43:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/?p=14996"},"modified":"2024-03-14T16:59:10","modified_gmt":"2024-03-14T16:59:10","slug":"college-basketball-pick-texas-longhorns-vs-kansas-state-wildcats","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/college-basketball-pick-texas-longhorns-vs-kansas-state-wildcats\/","title":{"rendered":"College Basketball Pick: Texas Longhorns vs. Kansas State Wildcats"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"markdown markdown-main-panel ui-v2-enabled\" dir=\"ltr\">\n<p data-sourcepos=\"7:1-7:52\">Tonight&#8217;s showdown between the Texas Longhorns (13-9) and the Kansas State Wildcats (15-10) presents an intriguing Big 12 matchup. While Texas holds a home-court advantage and a slightly better record, Kansas State shouldn&#8217;t be underestimated. Let&#8217;s dive into the data and make an informed pick.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"7:1-7:52\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-15000\" src=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Texas-Longhorns-vs.-Kansas-State-Wildcats.png\" alt=\"Texas Longhorns vs. Kansas State Wildcats\" width=\"589\" height=\"233\" srcset=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Texas-Longhorns-vs.-Kansas-State-Wildcats.png 746w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Texas-Longhorns-vs.-Kansas-State-Wildcats-600x237.png 600w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Texas-Longhorns-vs.-Kansas-State-Wildcats-300x119.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 589px) 100vw, 589px\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"9:1-9:22\"><strong>Model Predictions:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"11:1-12:54\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"11:1-11:60\"><strong>ESPN BPI:<\/strong> Texas 78.9, Kansas State 74.3 (Texas by 4.6)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"12:1-12:54\"><strong>CBS Sports:<\/strong> Texas 77, Kansas State 72 (Texas by 5)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"13:1-13:52\"><strong>KenPom:<\/strong> Texas 79, Kansas State 73 (Texas by 6)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"14:1-14:54\"><strong>StatMuse:<\/strong> Texas 78, Kansas State 75 (Texas by 3)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"15:1-15:52\"><strong>Massey:<\/strong> Texas 77, Kansas State 70 (Texas by 7)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"16:1-16:61\"><strong>FiveThirtyEight:<\/strong> Texas 76, Kansas State 70 (Texas by 6)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"17:1-17:51\"><strong>BetQL:<\/strong> Texas -8.5 (Spread), Under 142 (Total)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"18:1-19:0\"><strong>SportsLine:<\/strong> Texas -8 (Spread), Under 143 (Total)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"20:1-20:55\"><strong>Average:<\/strong> Texas by 5.1 (Spread), Under 142.3 (Total)<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"22:1-22:24\"><strong>Pythagorean Theorem:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"24:1-24:57\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"24:1-24:57\">Texas: Points Scored\/Possessions = 1.12, Points Allowed\/Possessions = 0.97 (Expected W-L Record: 16.4-8.6)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"25:1-26:0\">Kansas State: Points Scored\/Possessions = 1.06, Points Allowed\/Possessions = 1.02 (Expected W-L Record: 15.3-10.7)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"27:1-27:25\"><strong>Strength of Schedule:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"29:1-31:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"29:1-29:33\">Texas: 52nd nationally (KenPom)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"30:1-31:0\">Kansas State: 67th nationally (KenPom)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"32:1-32:18\"><strong>Other Factors:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"34:1-37:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"34:1-34:60\">Injuries: No key players reported injured for either team.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"35:1-35:109\">Trends: Texas has dominated at home this season (13-2), while Kansas State has struggled on the road (6-7).<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"36:1-37:0\">Weather: No weather concerns expected in Austin.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"38:1-38:29\"><strong>Against The Spread (ATS):<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"40:1-42:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"40:1-40:80\">Texas: 9-16 this season, exceeding spread predictions less than half the time.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"41:1-42:0\">Kansas State: 12-13 ATS, covering slightly more than expected.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"43:1-43:21\"><strong>Over\/Under (O\/U):<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"45:1-45:10\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"45:1-45:10\">Texas: 14-10-1, hitting the total just over half the time, leaning slightly towards unders.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"46:1-47:0\">Kansas State: 12-13-0, hitting the total exactly half the time, offering no clear bias.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14999\" src=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Texas-Longhorns-and-Kansas-State-Wildcats.png\" alt=\"Texas Longhorns and Kansas State Wildcats\" width=\"595\" height=\"280\" srcset=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Texas-Longhorns-and-Kansas-State-Wildcats.png 695w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Texas-Longhorns-and-Kansas-State-Wildcats-600x282.png 600w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Texas-Longhorns-and-Kansas-State-Wildcats-300x141.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 595px) 100vw, 595px\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"48:1-48:13\"><strong>Analysis:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"50:1-50:276\">While the models and metrics favor Texas due to their offensive efficiency and home court advantage, their struggles to cover the spread raise questions. Kansas State&#8217;s road struggles can&#8217;t be ignored, but their ATS record suggests they might keep things closer than expected.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"52:1-52:15\"><strong>Final Pick:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"54:1-54:279\">Based on the combined data, I predict a closer game than the spread suggests. My final score is <strong>Texas 77, Kansas State 72<\/strong>. However, considering Texas&#8217; ATS struggles and Kansas State&#8217;s recent covers, <strong>taking Kansas State +8.5 on the spread could be a more appealing option.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"62:1-62:226\"><span style=\"color: #339966;\"><strong>PICK: TAKE Kansas State +8.5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tonight&#8217;s showdown between the Texas Longhorns (13-9) and the Kansas State Wildcats (15-10) presents an intriguing Big 12 matchup. While Texas holds a home-court advantage<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":14999,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[102],"tags":[74,87,83,90,379,94,91,598,597],"class_list":["post-14996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-basketball","tag-ai-sports-betting-picks","tag-basketball-picks-against-the-spread","tag-basketball-picks-tonight","tag-college-basketball-free-picks","tag-kansas-state-wildcats","tag-ncaa-basketball-picks-against-the-spread","tag-sports-picks-nation","tag-texas-longhorns","tag-texas-longhorns-vs-kansas-state-wildcats","two-columns"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Texas-Longhorns-and-Kansas-State-Wildcats.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14996","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14996"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14996\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15219,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14996\/revisions\/15219"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14999"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14996"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14996"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14996"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}