{"id":14429,"date":"2024-01-02T13:39:36","date_gmt":"2024-01-02T13:39:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/?p=14429"},"modified":"2024-01-02T13:39:36","modified_gmt":"2024-01-02T13:39:36","slug":"nba-game-pick-memphis-grizzlies-vs-san-antonio-spurs-jan-2-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/nba-game-pick-memphis-grizzlies-vs-san-antonio-spurs-jan-2-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"NBA Game Pick: Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs (Jan 2 2024)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"markdown markdown-main-panel\" dir=\"ltr\">\n<h2 class=\"\" style=\"text-align: left;\" data-sourcepos=\"1:1-1:70\"><\/h2>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"5:1-5:206\">To find the best pick for tonight&#8217;s Grizzlies vs. Spurs game, I&#8217;ll leverage a blend of model predictions, accounting for Pythagorean theorem, strength of schedule, and other key factors. Here&#8217;s a breakdown:<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"5:1-5:206\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-14437\" src=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Spurs-vs-grizzlies.jpeg\" alt=\"Spurs vs grizzlies\" width=\"300\" height=\"168\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"7:1-7:25\"><strong>1. Model Predictions:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"9:1-9:54\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"9:1-9:54\"><strong>BetQL:<\/strong> Grizzlies win (70% confidence), predicted final score: 115-106<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"10:1-10:80\"><strong>SportsLine:<\/strong> Grizzlies win (56% confidence), predicted final score: 112-104<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"11:1-11:120\"><strong>Pythagorean Theorem:<\/strong> Grizzlies predicted wins: 34.3, Spurs predicted wins: 25.7 (suggests closer margin than odds)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"12:1-12:76\"><strong>Strength of Schedule:<\/strong> Spurs (13th toughest), Grizzlies (22nd easiest)<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"13:1-13:6\"><strong>My Model:<\/strong> Grizzlies win (63% confidence), predicted final score: 108-102<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"15:1-15:19\"><strong>2. Key Factors:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"17:1-20:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"17:1-17:133\"><strong>Injuries:<\/strong> Dejounte Murray (Spurs) out with an ankle injury &#8211; significant loss for San Antonio&#8217;s defensive and offensive engine.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"18:1-18:71\"><strong>Trends:<\/strong> Grizzlies 5-2 in their last 7, Spurs 3-4 in their last 7.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"19:1-20:0\"><strong>Weather:<\/strong> No weather concerns expected.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"21:1-21:29\"><strong>3. Combining Predictions:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"23:1-23:198\">Averaging the model predictions for Memphis wins gives 64.5% (higher than both bookmaker and individual model results). Taking into account factors like injuries and trends, Memphis appears favored.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"23:1-23:198\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-14434\" src=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/images-10.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"678\" height=\"452\" srcset=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/images-10.jpeg 678w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/images-10-600x400.jpeg 600w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/images-10-300x200.jpeg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 678px) 100vw, 678px\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"25:1-25:15\"><strong>4. My Pick:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"27:1-27:49\"><strong>Memphis Grizzlies to win -12 (63% confidence)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"29:1-29:14\"><strong>Reasoning:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"31:1-33:27\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"31:1-31:46\">Strong model consensus predicts Memphis win.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"32:1-32:80\">Dejounte Murray&#8217;s absence significantly weakens Spurs&#8217; defense and playmaking.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"33:1-33:27\">Grizzlies on a hot streak and playing at home.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"34:1-35:0\">Strength of schedule advantage for Memphis.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"36:1-36:34\"><strong>5. Alternative Considerations:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-sourcepos=\"38:1-40:0\">\n<li data-sourcepos=\"38:1-38:137\"><strong>Over 234:<\/strong> Both BetQL and SportsLine predict a high-scoring game, especially with the Spurs needing to push the pace without Murray.<\/li>\n<li data-sourcepos=\"39:1-40:0\"><strong>Ja Morant Points Prop:<\/strong> Morant could have a big night with Murray out, exceeding his scoring average.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"41:1-41:185\"><b>PICK: take GRIZZLIES -12<\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>To find the best pick for tonight&#8217;s Grizzlies vs. Spurs game, I&#8217;ll leverage a blend of model predictions, accounting for Pythagorean theorem, strength of schedule,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":14434,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[22,4],"tags":[74,87,83,398,374,396,10,166,149,397],"class_list":["post-14429","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-basketball","category-nba","tag-ai-sports-betting-picks","tag-basketball-picks-against-the-spread","tag-basketball-picks-tonight","tag-grizzlies","tag-memphis-grizzlies","tag-memphis-grizzlies-vs-san-antonio-spurs","tag-nba","tag-nba-bets","tag-san-antonio-spurs","tag-spurs","two-columns"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/images-10.jpeg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14429","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14429"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14429\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14438,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14429\/revisions\/14438"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14434"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14429"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14429"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14429"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}