{"id":14366,"date":"2023-12-27T14:57:13","date_gmt":"2023-12-27T14:57:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/?p=14366"},"modified":"2024-01-02T13:58:36","modified_gmt":"2024-01-02T13:58:36","slug":"autozone-liberty-bowl-pick-and-prediction-can-memphis-roar-past-iowa-states-cyclones","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/autozone-liberty-bowl-pick-and-prediction-can-memphis-roar-past-iowa-states-cyclones\/","title":{"rendered":"AutoZone Liberty Bowl Pick and Prediction: Can Memphis Roar Past Iowa State&#8217;s Cyclones?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-14367 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Memphis-Tigers-vs.-Iowa-State-Cyclones-300x210.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"461\" height=\"323\" srcset=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Memphis-Tigers-vs.-Iowa-State-Cyclones-300x210.jpg 300w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Memphis-Tigers-vs.-Iowa-State-Cyclones-600x419.jpg 600w, https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Memphis-Tigers-vs.-Iowa-State-Cyclones.jpg 743w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 461px) 100vw, 461px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The AutoZone Liberty Bowl in Memphis, Tennessee, promises a high-scoring affair as the potent offense of the Memphis Tigers clashes with the defensive prowess of the Iowa State Cyclones. Setting the stage for a December 29th showdown. Let&#8217;s dissect the data, analyze the injuries, and predict the best picks for this intriguing bowl game.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Model Consensus:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The AI models are divided, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the matchup:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BettingPros Consensus: Iowa State -8.5<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ESPN FPI: Iowa State 58.7% win probability<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CBS Sports: Memphis 55% win probability<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sports Illustrated: Iowa State 58.5% win probability<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BetQL: Iowa State -8.5, Over 57.5<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SportsLine: Iowa State -8.5, Under 57.5<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Pythagorean Theorem and Strength of Schedule:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Memphis&#8217; 9-3 record translates to a predicted 27.3 wins with 4.7 losses based on their 421 points scored and 277 points allowed. Iowa State&#8217;s 7-5 record translates to a predicted 23.8 wins with 8.2 losses based on their 428 points scored and 316 points allowed. This analysis suggests a potent offense for both teams, with Memphis holding a slight edge offensively and Iowa State boasting a stronger defense.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, strength of schedule paints a slightly different picture. Memphis faced the 128th toughest schedule compared to Iowa State&#8217;s 119th. This suggests that Iowa State&#8217;s wins might be slightly inflated due to a slightly easier route throughout the season.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Injury Report and Weather:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Memphis suffers the loss of key wide receiver Koby Drake, potentially impacting their receiving corps. Iowa State enters the game healthy, with no major injuries reported.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The weather in Memphis on December 29th is expected to be mild with clear skies and a temperature of 54 degrees Fahrenheit. This shouldn&#8217;t significantly impact the game&#8217;s pace or style.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Personal Prediction and Picks:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This game hinges on Memphis&#8217; ability to overcome the loss of Drake and exploit Iowa State&#8217;s occasional defensive lapses. Their high-powered offense, averaging 38.3 points per game, remains a dangerous weapon. Iowa State&#8217;s defense, allowing 21.7 points per game, is undoubtedly strong, but they&#8217;ve been vulnerable against explosive offenses at times.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Memphis +8.5 (spread): Taking the points with Memphis offers good value considering their offensive firepower and Iowa State&#8217;s occasional defensive inconsistencies. The loss of Drake hurts, but their balanced attack can find ways to score.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Over 57.5 (total): Both teams possess potent offenses, and the weather conditions favor an open, high-scoring affair. Additionally, Memphis might attempt to compensate for Drake&#8217;s absence with more aggressive offensive plays, potentially leading to a shootout.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Pick: Take the under 57.5 points. <\/b><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">***LOSE***<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Enjoy the AutoZone Liberty Bowl and witness the offensive fireworks as the Memphis Tigers face off against the defensive might of the Iowa State Cyclones in Memphis!<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The AutoZone Liberty Bowl in Memphis, Tennessee, promises a high-scoring affair as the potent offense of the Memphis Tigers clashes with the defensive prowess of<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":14367,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[33],"tags":[354,38,211,352,351,36,349,283,353,47],"class_list":["post-14366","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-autozone-liberty-bowl","tag-college-football-predictions","tag-free-ncaa-bowl-game-picks","tag-iowa-state-cyclones","tag-memphis-tigers-vs-iowa-state-cyclones","tag-ncaa-football","tag-ncaa-football-analysis","tag-ncaa-football-free-picks","tag-remove-term-memphis-tigers-vs-iowa-state-cyclones-memphis-tigers","tag-sports-picks","two-columns"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Memphis-Tigers-vs.-Iowa-State-Cyclones.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14366","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14366"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14366\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14443,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14366\/revisions\/14443"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14367"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14366"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14366"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14366"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}